Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W21-17 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L14-62 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L28-31 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L10-66 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L0-44 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W42-6 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:1% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:5% | |
| 11 | 11/05 | Win prob:12% | |
| 11 | 11/11 | Win prob:21% | |
| 13 | 11/19 | Win prob:22% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:4% |
Data from 2025-10-12
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 0% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 1.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 11.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 38.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 48.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-12
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Bowling GreenKent State
Ohio
Buffalo
Akron
Miami (OH)CCG: 0.6% • Scenario: 0.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Bowling GreenKent StateOhioBuffaloAkronMiami (OH)CCG: 0.6% • Scenario: 0.2%
Data from 2025-10-12
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2025-10-12
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-12