TempleOwls

4-3 T4th (2-1) in AAC

Data from 2025-10-19 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@MassachusettsMASS	W42-10
2	9/06	vsHowardHOW	W55-7
3	9/13	vsOklahomaOU	L3-42
4	9/20	@Georgia TechGT	L24-45
6	10/04	vsUTSAUTSA	W27-21
7	10/11	vsNavyNAVY	L31-32
8	10/18	@CharlotteCLT	W49-14
9	10/25	@TulsaTLSA	Win prob:69%
10	11/01	vsEast CarolinaECU	Win prob:20%
11	11/08	@ArmyARMY	Win prob:11%
13	11/22	vsTulaneTULN	Win prob:16%
14	11/28	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:12%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.0%	92.9%
6-2	0.7%	24.0%
5-3	6.9%	0.0%
4-4	28.5%	0%
3-5	47.7%	0%
2-6	16.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

44.4%

22.2%

16.7%

11.1%

5.6%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
TempleTEM@TulsaTLSA	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.0% (-0.2%)
UConnCONN@RiceRICE	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.1%)
South FloridaUSF@MemphisMEM	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
North TexasUNT@CharlotteCLT	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Florida AtlanticFAU@NavyNAVY	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Temple

UConn

Memphis

Charlotte

Navy

CCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 4.9%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Temple

UConn

CCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 60.1%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

92.9%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

24.0%

0.7%

50.0%

<0.1%

29.7%

0.3%

23.0%

0.1%

21.1%

0.2%

18.7%

0.2%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com