Oregon

OregonDucks

8-0 T1st (5-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-10-27 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

83.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

OregonSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsIdahoIDHO
W24-14
29/07
vsBoise StBOIS
W37-34
39/14
@Oregon StORST
W49-14
59/28
@UCLAUCLA
W34-13
610/04
vsMichigan StMSU
W31-10
710/12
vsOhio StOSU
W32-31
810/18
@PurduePUR
W35-0
910/26
vsIllinoisILL
W38-9
1011/02
@MichiganMICH
Win prob:71%
1111/09
vsMarylandMD
Win prob:97%
1211/16
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:79%
1411/30
vsWashingtonWASH
Win prob:90%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
49.3%
100.0%
8-1
39.8%
83.5%
7-2
10.0%
14.9%
6-3
0.9%
0%
5-4
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Oregon CCG Opponents

if Oregon makes the CCG

Penn StatePenn St
43.2%
Ohio StateOhio St
43.1%
IndianaIndiana
13.3%
MichiganMichigan
0.3%
IllinoisIllinois
0.1%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonThis Week's Impact

Game
OregonCCG OddsAway
OregonCCG OddsHome
Ohio StOSU@Penn StPSU
81.6%
(-2.4%)		87.9%
(+4.0%)
NorthwesternNU@PurduePUR
84.0%
(+0.1%)		83.7%
(-0.2%)
OregonORE@MichiganMICH
93.0%
(+9.1%)		61.5%
(-22.4%)
MinnesotaMINN@IllinoisILL
82.6%
(-1.3%)		85.1%
(+1.1%)
IndianaIU@Michigan StMSU
82.6%
(-1.3%)		91.0%
(+7.0%)
UCLAUCLA@NebraskaNEB
84.3%
(+0.4%)		83.7%
(-0.3%)
USCUSC@WashingtonWASH
82.7%
(-1.2%)		85.4%
(+1.5%)
WisconsinWIS@IowaIOWA
83.5%
(-0.4%)		84.3%
(+0.4%)

Best Winner Combination for Oregon

Penn StPenn StatePurduePurdueOregonOregonIllinoisIllinoisMichigan StMichigan StateUCLAUCLA

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Oregon

OregonOregon

CCG: 93.0% • Scenario: 71.2%

Ways for Oregon to Clinch Big Ten CCG Spot This Week

Penn StPenn StateNorthwesternNorthwesternOregonOregonMinnesotaMinnesotaMichigan StMichigan StateNebraskaNebraskaUSCUSCIowaIowa
0.3%
Penn StPenn StatePurduePurdueOregonOregonIllinoisIllinoisMichigan StMichigan StateUSCUSC
0.3%
Penn StPenn StatePurduePurdueOregonOregonIllinoisIllinoisMichigan StMichigan StateWisconsinWisconsin
0.3%
Penn StPenn StateOregonOregonIllinoisIllinoisMichigan StMichigan StateUCLAUCLAWashingtonWashingtonIowaIowa
0.2%
Penn StPenn StatePurduePurdueOregonOregonIllinoisIllinoisMichigan StMichigan StateUCLAUCLA
0.2%
Penn StPenn StatePurduePurdueOregonOregonMichigan StMichigan StateUCLAUCLAWashingtonWashington
0.2%
Penn StPenn StatePurduePurdueOregonOregonMichigan StMichigan StateUCLAUCLAWisconsinWisconsin
0.2%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Oregon CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
49.3%
Any 1 loss
83.5%
39.8%
Michigan
83.8%
19.9%
Wisconsin
83.3%
12.9%
Washington
82.8%
5.3%
Maryland
82.7%
1.7%
Any 2 losses
14.9%
10.1%
MarylandWashington
24.4%
0.2%
MarylandWisconsin
23.1%
0.4%
WashingtonWisconsin
22.4%
1.4%
MarylandMichigan
16.3%
0.7%
MichiganWashington
13.3%
2.1%
MichiganWisconsin
12.4%
5.3%

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com

OregonCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2024-10-27 • SportsSimulate.com