MemphisTigers

7-2 4th (3-2) in AAC

Data from 2024-11-03 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsNorth AlabamaUNA	W40-0
2	9/07	vsTroyTROY	W38-17
3	9/14	@Florida StateFSU	W20-12
4	9/21	@NavyNAVY	L44-56
5	9/28	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	W24-7
7	10/12	vsSouth FloridaUSF(N)	W21-3
8	10/19	vsNorth TexasUNT	W52-44
9	10/26	vsCharlotteCLT	W33-28
10	11/02	@UTSAUTSA	L36-44
11	11/08	vsRiceRICE	Win prob:87%
12	11/16	vsUABUAB	Win prob:92%
14	11/28	@TulaneTULN	Win prob:20%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	16.2%	9.7%
5-3	68.0%	0%
4-4	15.0%	0%
3-5	0.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

55.4%

39.5%

5.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
RiceRICE@MemphisMEM	0.0% (-1.6%)	1.8% (+0.2%)
UConnCONN@UABUAB	1.5% (-0.0%)	1.7% (+0.1%)
ArmyARMY@North TexasUNT	0.7% (-0.8%)	3.4% (+1.8%)
Florida AtlanticFAU@East CarolinaECU	1.4% (-0.1%)	1.6% (+0.1%)
TempleTEM@TulaneTULN	13.8% (+12.3%)	1.4% (-0.2%)
NavyNAVY@South FloridaUSF	1.0% (-0.5%)	2.4% (+0.8%)

Best Winner Combination for

Memphis

UAB

Army

East Carolina

Temple

South Florida

CCG: 26.9% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Memphis

North Texas

CCG: 3.9% • Scenario: 27.4%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

9.7%

16.2%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com