Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W32-25 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L3-52 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L21-49 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | L17-45 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L7-24 | |
| 7 | 10/10 | L21-48 | |
| 8 | 10/15 | W14-5 | |
| 9 | 10/23 | L20-42 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W20-13 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:12% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:63% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:30% |
Data from 2024-11-03
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| 4-4 | 23.0% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 52.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 22.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-03
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
100.0%
0.0%
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.1%) | 0.5% (+0.4%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.2%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Middle Tennessee
New Mexico State
UTEP
Louisiana TechCCG: 2.0% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Middle TennesseeCCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 11.5%
Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03