Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.3%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W76-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W52-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W40-6 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W52-13 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L17-20 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | W27-3 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | L26-29 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | W26-14 | |
| 10 | 11/02 | W63-31 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:44% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:83% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:98% |
Data from 2024-11-03
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 35.3% | 0.9% |
| 5-3 | 53.7% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 10.7% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 0.2% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-03
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2% (-0.1%) | 0.6% (+0.3%) | |
| 1.8% (+1.5%) | 0.3% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.4% (+0.1%) | 0.3% (-0.1%) | |
| 1.1% (+0.8%) | 0.3% (-0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.3%) | 0.7% (+0.4%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (-0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
LSU
Mississippi State
Missouri
FloridaOle Miss
VanderbiltCCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Ole MissCCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 43.8%
Data from 2024-11-03
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
0.9%
35.3%Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03