BaylorBears

5-4 T9th (3-3) in B12

Data from 2024-11-10 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsTarleton StateTAR	W45-3
2	9/07	@UtahUTAH	L12-23
3	9/14	vsAir ForceAF	W31-3
4	9/21	@ColoradoCOLO	L31-38
5	9/28	vsBYUBYU	L28-34
6	10/05	@Iowa StateISU	L21-43
8	10/19	@Texas TechTTU	W59-35
9	10/26	vsOklahoma StateOKST	W38-28
10	11/02	vsTCUTCU	W37-34
12	11/16	@West VirginiaWVU	Win prob:42%
13	11/23	@HoustonHOU	Win prob:69%
14	11/30	vsKansasKU	Win prob:43%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-3	12.5%	6.8%
5-4	39.1%	0%
4-5	38.2%	0%
3-6	10.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

91.7%

3.6%

3.6%

1.2%

0.0%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
BaylorBAY@West VirginiaWVU	2.0% (+1.2%)	0.0% (-0.8%)
CincinnatiCIN@Iowa StateISU	1.2% (+0.4%)	0.8% (-0.1%)
KansasKU@BYUBYU	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.8% (-0.1%)
UtahUTAH@ColoradoCOLO	1.9% (+1.1%)	0.3% (-0.6%)
HoustonHOU@ArizonaARIZ	0.9% (+0.0%)	0.8% (-0.0%)
Arizona StateASU@Kansas StateKSU	1.4% (+0.5%)	0.7% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Baylor

Cincinnati

Kansas

Utah

Houston

Arizona State

CCG: 10.7% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Baylor

Utah

CCG: 4.6% • Scenario: 14.3%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

6.8%

12.5%

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-11-10 • SportsSimulate.com