Marshall

MarshallThundering Herd

1-1 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MarshallSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsStony BrookSTBK
W45-3
29/07
@Virginia TechVT
L14-31
49/21
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:2%
59/28
vsW MichiganWMU
Win prob:78%
610/05
vsAppalachian StAPP
Win prob:49%
710/12
@Ga SouthernGASO
Win prob:43%
810/17
vsGeorgia StGAST
Win prob:60%
1011/02
vsULMULM
Win prob:75%
1111/09
@Southern MissUSM
Win prob:66%
1211/16
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:36%
1311/23
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:40%
1411/30
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
1.4%
46.0%
6-2
7.5%
10.9%
5-3
19.9%
2.0%
4-4
29.4%
0.2%
3-5
25.5%
0%
2-6
12.4%
0%
1-7
3.4%
0%
0-8
0.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Marshall CCG Opponents

if Marshall makes the CCG

LouisianaLouisiana
28.3%
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
26.8%
TroyTroy
22.7%
Texas StateTexas St
19.2%
Arkansas StateArkansas St
3.0%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallThis Week's Impact

Game
MarshallCCG OddsAway
MarshallCCG OddsHome
Northwestern StateNWST@South AlabamaUSA
2.3%
(+0.3%)		2.0%
(-0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Texas StTXST
2.0%
(+0.0%)		2.0%
(-0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@MichiganMICH
2.0%
(+0.0%)		2.0%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@IowaIOWA
2.0%
(+0.0%)		2.0%
(-0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@Southern MissUSM
2.0%
(+0.0%)		2.0%
(+0.0%)
Coastal CarCCU@TempleTEM
2.0%
(+0.0%)		2.0%
(+0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@Georgia StGAST
2.1%
(+0.1%)		2.0%
(-0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@Old DominionODU
2.0%
(+0.0%)		2.0%
(-0.0%)
South Carolina StateSCST@Ga SouthernGASO
2.1%
(+0.1%)		2.0%
(-0.0%)
Appalachian StAPP@East CarolinaECU
2.0%
(+0.0%)		2.0%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Marshall

Northwestern StateNorthwestern StateArkansas StArkansas StateTroyTroySouthern MissSouthern MissTempleTemple

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Marshall

South AlabamaSouth AlabamaMichiganMichiganIowaIowaSouth FloridaSouth FloridaCoastal CarCoastal CarolinaEast CarolinaEast Carolina

CCG: 2.2% • Scenario: 16.7%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Marshall CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
90.7%
<0.1%
Ohio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
W Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Old Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia St
100.0%
<0.1%
James Madison
16.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
45.2%
1.1%
Ohio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
ULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio St
97.7%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio St
94.1%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld Dominion
92.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio St
91.2%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio St
63.5%
0.1%
Coastal CarULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia St
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa Southern
25.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio St
17.3%
0.6%
James MadisonOld Dominion
8.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
12.7%
6.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOld DominionSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionW Michigan
96.8%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern Miss
95.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
95.5%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
95.5%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionULM
94.3%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StW Michigan
92.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StW Michigan
92.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StULM
92.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern Miss
90.9%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StULM
76.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern Miss
72.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StW Michigan
62.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio St
32.2%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld Dominion
28.6%
0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld Dominion
25.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StOhio St
23.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio St
23.0%
0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld Dominion
21.0%
0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
19.9%
0.4%
James MadisonOhio StW Michigan
17.0%
0.2%
James MadisonOld DominionSouthern Miss
16.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonSouthern Miss
16.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StULM
14.3%
0.2%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio St
13.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio St
8.3%
0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld Dominion
6.1%
0.2%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio St
3.5%
0.4%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio St
2.9%
0.9%
James MadisonOhio StOld Dominion
2.9%
0.9%
Appalachian StCoastal CarOhio St
2.7%
0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio St
1.1%
0.6%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio St
0.7%
1.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com