Iowa

IowaHawkeyes

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

IowaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsIllinois StateILST
W40-0
29/07
vsIowa StISU
L19-20
39/14
vsTroyTROY
Win prob:55%
49/21
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:51%
610/05
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:5%
710/12
vsWashingtonWASH
Win prob:29%
810/19
@Michigan StMSU
Win prob:60%
910/26
vsNorthwesternNU
Win prob:63%
1011/02
vsWisconsinWIS
Win prob:51%
1111/08
@UCLAUCLA
Win prob:42%
1311/23
@MarylandMD
Win prob:26%
1411/29
vsNebraskaNEB
Win prob:53%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.2%
68.3%
7-2
2.0%
10.6%
6-3
8.5%
0.1%
5-4
19.7%
0%
4-5
28.0%
0%
3-6
24.3%
0%
2-7
13.0%
0%
1-8
3.8%
0%
0-9
0.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Iowa CCG Opponents

if Iowa makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
55.3%
OregonOregon
15.8%
MichiganMichigan
15.8%
Penn StatePenn St
10.5%
USCUSC
2.6%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaThis Week's Impact

Game
IowaCCG OddsAway
IowaCCG OddsHome
Notre DameND@PurduePUR
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
AlabamaALA@WisconsinWIS
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@MichiganMICH
0.5%
(+0.1%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@NebraskaNEB
0.3%
(-0.1%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Washington StWSU@WashingtonWASH
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@IowaIOWA
0.4%
(+0.1%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
OregonORE@Oregon StORST
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.1%)
C MichiganCMU@IllinoisILL
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MinnesotaMINN
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Prairie View A&MPV@Michigan StMSU
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
Eastern IllinoisEIU@NorthwesternNU
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
IndianaIU@UCLAUCLA
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
MarylandMD@VirginiaUVA
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Iowa CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
67.7%
0.1%
Wisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Troy
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Nebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington
90.0%
<0.1%
Minnesota
75.0%
<0.1%
Maryland
72.7%
<0.1%
Ohio St
56.3%
<0.1%
Michigan St
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
15.5%
1.1%
NebraskaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
TroyWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLAWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
TroyUCLA
85.7%
<0.1%
TroyWashington
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
NorthwesternWashington
66.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaUCLA
66.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StTroy
65.8%
<0.1%
NorthwesternUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraska
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUCLA
33.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaNorthwestern
33.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraska
33.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StWashington
27.3%
<0.1%
MarylandUCLA
23.8%
<0.1%
MarylandWashington
18.8%
<0.1%
WashingtonWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StUCLA
15.6%
0.1%
UCLAWashington
15.4%
<0.1%
MinnesotaWashington
14.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOhio St
13.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StUCLA
12.5%
<0.1%
MarylandWisconsin
11.1%
<0.1%
MarylandNebraska
10.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhio St
9.1%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio St
9.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StWisconsin
7.6%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio St
7.5%
0.3%
MinnesotaOhio St
4.8%
<0.1%
Ohio StWashington
2.1%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
9.5%
1.1%
MinnesotaTroyWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNorthwesternTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternTroyUCLA
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandMinnesotaTroy
58.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaNorthwesternTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaTroyWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StMinnesotaTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternTroyWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
TroyUCLAWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandTroyWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternTroyWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
MarylandNebraskaTroy
33.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraskaTroy
33.3%
<0.1%
MarylandTroyUCLA
28.6%
<0.1%
MarylandMichigan StTroy
27.3%
<0.1%
TroyUCLAWashington
22.2%
<0.1%
Michigan StTroyWashington
20.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaTroyUCLA
20.0%
<0.1%
MarylandTroyWashington
17.4%
<0.1%
NebraskaTroyWashington
14.3%
<0.1%
TroyWashingtonWisconsin
14.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOhio StTroy
13.6%
<0.1%
MinnesotaTroyWashington
11.1%
<0.1%
Ohio StTroyUCLA
10.9%
0.1%
Michigan StOhio StTroy
9.1%
<0.1%
Ohio StTroyWisconsin
8.2%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio StTroy
7.6%
0.2%
MinnesotaOhio StTroy
5.9%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio StTroy
5.1%
<0.1%
Ohio StTroyWashington
5.0%
0.2%
Michigan StMinnesotaOhio St
2.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNorthwesternOhio St
1.5%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOhio StUCLA
1.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com