HoustonCougars

1-2 T2nd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsUNLVUNLV	L7-27
2	9/07	@OklahomaOU	L12-16
3	9/14	vsRiceRICE	W33-7
4	9/21	@CincinnatiCIN	Win prob:47%
5	9/28	vsIowa StateISU	Win prob:37%
6	10/04	@TCUTCU	Win prob:27%
8	10/19	vsKansasKU(N)	Win prob:31%
9	10/26	vsUtahUTAH	Win prob:35%
10	11/02	vsKansas StateKSU	Win prob:14%
12	11/15	@ArizonaARIZ	Win prob:19%
13	11/23	vsBaylorBAY	Win prob:52%
14	11/30	@BYUBYU	Win prob:41%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.1%	100.0%
7-2	0.6%	59.4%
6-3	3.2%	5.4%
5-4	10.5%	0.0%
4-5	21.3%	0%
3-6	28.3%	0%
2-7	23.3%	0%
1-8	10.5%	0%
0-9	2.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

59.2%

12.2%

12.2%

8.2%

8.2%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
BaylorBAY@ColoradoCOLO	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
TCUTCU@SMUSMU	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
Arkansas StateARST@Iowa StateISU	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
Arizona StateASU@Texas TechTTU	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
Kansas StateKSU@BYUBYU	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.2%)
HoustonHOU@CincinnatiCIN	1.0% (+0.4%)	0.2% (-0.4%)
UtahUTAH@Oklahoma StateOKST	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
KansasKU@West VirginiaWVU	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Baylor

TCU

Arkansas State

Arizona State

BYU

Houston

Oklahoma State

Kansas

CCG: 8.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Houston

CCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 47.5%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

59.0%

0.6%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

91.7%

<0.1%

90.9%

<0.1%

87.5%

<0.1%

85.7%

<0.1%

81.3%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

73.9%

<0.1%

72.7%

<0.1%

69.2%

<0.1%

68.8%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

63.0%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

58.1%

<0.1%

57.7%

<0.1%

54.2%

<0.1%

53.8%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

47.2%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

42.4%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

38.2%

<0.1%

36.8%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com