Rice

RiceOwls

0-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2025-08-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

RiceSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@LouisianaUL
Win prob:26%
29/06
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:52%
39/13
vsPrairie View A&MPV
Win prob:90%
49/18
@CharlotteCLT
Win prob:59%
59/27
@NavyNAVY
Win prob:18%
610/04
vsFL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:71%
710/11
@UT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:22%
910/25
vsUConnCONN
Win prob:41%
1010/31
vsMemphisMEM
Win prob:23%
1111/08
vsUABUAB
Win prob:60%
1311/22
vsNorth TexasUNT
Win prob:47%
1411/29
@South FloridaUSF
Win prob:17%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.3%
93.0%
6-2
2.8%
29.1%
5-3
11.1%
0.2%
4-4
24.8%
0%
3-5
31.2%
0%
2-6
21.3%
0%
1-7
7.5%
0%
0-8
1.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Rice CCG Opponents

if Rice makes the CCG

TulaneTulane
30.4%
MemphisMemphis
25.5%
ArmyArmy
19.6%
South FloridaSouth Florida
13.7%
NavyNavy
10.8%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceThis Week's Impact

Game
RiceCCG OddsAway
RiceCCG OddsHome

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Rice CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
93.8%
<0.1%
Memphis
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
UConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
South Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
UAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL Atlantic
100.0%
<0.1%
Navy
87.5%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
62.1%
0.2%
MemphisUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
UConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphis
88.9%
<0.1%
HoustonNavy
85.7%
<0.1%
MemphisUConn
80.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavy
77.8%
<0.1%
North TexasUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavy
46.2%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth Texas
33.3%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyNorth Texas
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisUT San Antonio
30.8%
<0.1%
NavyUT San Antonio
26.7%
<0.1%
NavySouth Florida
26.1%
<0.1%
South FloridaUT San Antonio
21.1%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth Florida
16.7%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
39.5%
0.9%
HoustonLouisianaMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorth TexasUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
North TexasPrairie View A&MUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaPrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth FloridaUConn
95.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaUConnUT San Antonio
91.7%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUConn
90.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUConn
85.7%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUT San Antonio
80.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaUT San Antonio
80.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaSouth Florida
75.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorth TexasSouth Florida
68.8%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
UABUConnUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyUAB
62.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaUABUT San Antonio
62.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaSouth Florida
62.5%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUAB
60.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaMemphis
60.0%
<0.1%
NavyUABUConn
57.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNavy
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth TexasUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
Prairie View A&MSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth FloridaUAB
40.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorth TexasUT San Antonio
37.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUT San Antonio
35.7%
<0.1%
NavyUConnUT San Antonio
34.8%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth FloridaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonNavy
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaNavy
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyNorth Texas
33.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaNavy
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphis
33.3%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisNavy
31.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
30.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyUT San Antonio
28.6%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth Florida
28.6%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
27.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyNorth Texas
25.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMemphis
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisSouth Florida
23.8%
<0.1%
MemphisUConnUT San Antonio
23.5%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
23.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisNorth Texas
22.2%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavy
21.4%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavySouth Florida
20.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisUT San Antonio
18.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyNorth Texas
16.7%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasUConn
16.7%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUT San Antonio
15.4%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisUAB
14.3%
<0.1%
North TexasUConnUT San Antonio
14.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaSouth Florida
14.3%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUConn
13.8%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUT San Antonio
12.5%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
11.1%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth Florida
8.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
25.2%
1.5%
HoustonLouisianaNavyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaPrairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisNorth TexasPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorth TexasPrairie View A&MUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonLouisianaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasPrairie View A&MUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaNorth TexasPrairie View A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaPrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonLouisianaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaPrairie View A&MUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaUConnUT San Antonio
90.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaSouth FloridaUConn
87.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaNorth TexasUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUConnUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyPrairie View A&MUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaUABUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUABUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNorth TexasUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaMemphisUConn
63.6%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonLouisianaUT San Antonio
60.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaNavyUConn
58.3%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaSouth FloridaUAB
57.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonLouisianaUT San Antonio
57.1%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisNorth TexasUConn
52.9%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth FloridaUABUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaPrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyPrairie View A&MUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisUABUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonLouisianaMemphis
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteFL AtlanticLouisianaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNorth TexasUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMemphisUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
North TexasPrairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaUABUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyNorth TexasPrairie View A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisPrairie View A&MUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorth TexasUConnUT San Antonio
45.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonLouisianaSouth Florida
44.4%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonLouisianaNavy
44.4%
<0.1%
LouisianaUABUConnUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNavyNorth Texas
40.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticHoustonNavyUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyPrairie View A&MUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaUConnUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyUConnUT San Antonio
39.4%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUConnUT San Antonio
39.1%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaMemphisNorth Texas
38.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaMemphisUConn
37.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyNorth TexasUConn
36.8%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNorth TexasSouth Florida
36.4%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
35.4%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
34.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisPrairie View A&MUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
LouisianaPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNavyUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNorth TexasUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNorth TexasSouth FloridaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUABUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisPrairie View A&MSouth FloridaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth FloridaUConn
31.8%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavyUConn
31.6%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisUConnUT San Antonio
28.9%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonLouisianaMemphis
28.6%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaSouth FloridaUConn
28.6%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaMemphisNavy
27.9%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNorth TexasUT San Antonio
27.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonLouisianaNorth Texas
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyUABUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaUConnUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
NavyPrairie View A&MUConnUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
24.2%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNavySouth Florida
24.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaNavyUT San Antonio
22.4%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonLouisianaNavy
22.2%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
22.2%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaNavyUConn
22.2%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavySouth FloridaUConn
22.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaSouth FloridaUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaMemphisUT San Antonio
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaNorth TexasSouth FloridaUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUConnUT San Antonio
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisPrairie View A&MSouth Florida
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUABUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaMemphisUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth FloridaUConn
19.1%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisSouth FloridaUConn
17.3%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisianaMemphisSouth Florida
15.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisNavyUConn
14.8%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUConnUT San Antonio
11.8%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMemphisSouth Florida
4.2%
<0.1%
CharlotteLouisianaNavySouth Florida
2.8%
<0.1%
LouisianaNavyNorth TexasUT San Antonio
1.8%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisNavyUT San Antonio
0.7%
0.1%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com