UAB

UABBlazers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2025-08-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

UABSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsAlabama StateALST
Win prob:90%
29/06
@NavyNAVY
Win prob:17%
39/13
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:69%
49/20
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:4%
610/04
vsArmyARMY
Win prob:21%
710/11
@FL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:53%
810/18
vsMemphisMEM
Win prob:21%
1011/01
@UConnCONN
Win prob:25%
1111/08
@RiceRICE
Win prob:40%
1211/15
vsNorth TexasUNT
Win prob:45%
1311/22
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:26%
1411/29
@TulsaTLSA
Win prob:78%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

UABRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.3%
94.1%
6-2
2.1%
34.3%
5-3
9.1%
0.3%
4-4
22.1%
0%
3-5
31.3%
0%
2-6
24.4%
0%
1-7
9.5%
0%
0-8
1.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UAB CCG Opponents

if UAB makes the CCG

MemphisMemphis
26.1%
TulaneTulane
25.0%
ArmyArmy
22.8%
NavyNavy
13.0%
South FloridaSouth Florida
13.0%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

UABThis Week's Impact

Game
UABCCG OddsAway
UABCCG OddsHome

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

UABLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UAB CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Akron
100.0%
<0.1%
Army
100.0%
<0.1%
Tennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
55.3%
0.5%
RiceTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyRiceUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateMemphisSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateNavyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticRiceTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyTennesseeUConn
95.8%
<0.1%
MemphisTennesseeUConn
90.3%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennesseeUConn
90.0%
<0.1%
North TexasTennesseeUConn
90.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTennesseeUConn
83.3%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisTennessee
83.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMemphisTennessee
83.3%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth FloridaTennessee
75.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyTennessee
71.4%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
NavyTennesseeTulsa
60.0%
<0.1%
NavyRiceTennessee
58.8%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasTennessee
58.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth TexasTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyFL AtlanticUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateArmyTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisRice
50.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
North TexasRiceTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronSouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasTennessee
45.5%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaTennessee
42.9%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTennessee
41.7%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaTennessee
41.4%
<0.1%
ArmyFL AtlanticTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRiceTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTennesseeTulsa
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyTennessee
32.6%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyTennessee
28.6%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTennessee
28.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
22.2%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTennessee
21.6%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
14.3%
<0.1%
MemphisRiceTennessee
14.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
34.2%
1.2%
AkronSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticNorth TexasTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateArmyTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisNorth TexasTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronAlabama StateSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateNavyTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateNavyNorth TexasTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticTennesseeTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticRiceUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateSouth FloridaTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticRiceTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticRiceTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceTennesseeTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyRiceTennessee
90.0%
<0.1%
North TexasTennesseeTulsaUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateMemphisTennesseeUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticRiceTennesseeUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyRiceTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
Alabama StateArmyNorth TexasTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronArmyFL AtlanticTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticNavyTennessee
62.5%
<0.1%
Alabama StateMemphisNavyTennessee
55.6%
<0.1%
NavyRiceTennesseeUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyFL AtlanticTennesseeUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NavyNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateArmyMemphisTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyNorth TexasTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceSouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
NavyTennesseeTulsaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateMemphisNorth TexasTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateFL AtlanticNavyTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronRiceSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
North TexasRiceTennesseeUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateNavySouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyNorth TexasUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Alabama StateArmyRiceTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
48.5%
<0.1%
MemphisNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
44.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavyTennesseeUConn
42.9%
<0.1%
MemphisRiceTennesseeUConn
41.7%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth TexasTennesseeUConn
40.6%
<0.1%
Alabama StateNavyRiceTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisSouth FloridaTennessee
37.5%
<0.1%
AkronArmyNavyTennessee
35.3%
<0.1%
Alabama StateMemphisSouth FloridaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronNorth TexasSouth FloridaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisRiceTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
32.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMemphisTennesseeUConn
31.8%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyTennesseeUConn
31.8%
0.1%
AkronArmyMemphisTennessee
30.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTennesseeTulsaUConn
28.6%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
28.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyTennesseeUConn
28.3%
0.1%
NavySouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
28.2%
<0.1%
AkronMemphisNavyTennessee
26.3%
<0.1%
Alabama StateArmyNavyTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTennesseeTulsaUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
AkronArmyNorth TexasTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavyTennesseeTulsa
25.0%
<0.1%
AkronNavySouth FloridaTennessee
23.1%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTennesseeUConn
21.1%
<0.1%
AkronArmySouth FloridaTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTennesseeUConn
17.9%
<0.1%
AkronFL AtlanticMemphisTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticRiceSouth FloridaTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyRiceTennesseeUConn
14.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNavySouth FloridaTennessee
4.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com