Nevada

NevadaWolf Pack

0-0 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2025-08-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NevadaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
@Penn StPSU
Win prob:1%
29/06
vsSacramento StateSAC
Win prob:90%
39/13
vsMTSUMTSU
Win prob:65%
49/20
@WKUWKU
Win prob:22%
610/04
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:16%
710/11
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:53%
810/18
@New MexicoUNM
Win prob:36%
910/24
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:20%
1111/08
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:25%
1211/15
vsSan Jose StSJSU
Win prob:32%
1311/22
@WyomingWYO
Win prob:30%
1411/29
vsUNLVUNLV
Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
100.0%
6-2
0.6%
76.3%
5-3
3.5%
10.6%
4-4
11.7%
0%
3-5
24.8%
0%
2-6
31.4%
0%
1-7
21.8%
0%
0-8
6.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Nevada CCG Opponents

if Nevada makes the CCG

UNLVUNLV
43.9%
Boise StateBoise St
30.5%
Fresno StateFresno St
14.6%
San José StateSan Jose St
7.3%
Utah StateUtah St
3.7%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaThis Week's Impact

Game
NevadaCCG OddsAway
NevadaCCG OddsHome
StanfordSTAN@HawaiiHAW
0.9%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
Idaho StateIDST@UNLVUNLV
0.9%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
Fresno StFRES@KansasKU
1.0%
(+0.1%)		0.9%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Nevada

HawaiiHawai'iUNLVUNLVFresno StFresno State

CCG: 1.1% • Scenario: 10.4%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Nevada

UNLVUNLVFresno StFresno State

CCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 24.4%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Nevada CCG Probability
Likelihood
Penn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Penn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
82.5%
0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Diego StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUNLVUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUNLVWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Diego StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Jose StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StPenn St
88.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StWyoming
83.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSan Jose St
80.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StUNLV
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StSan Diego St
66.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StUtah St
60.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StUNLV
28.6%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
42.5%
0.6%
Boise StMTSUPenn StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSacramento StateSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Diego StUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StMTSUPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Diego StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoPenn StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StSan Diego StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUNLVWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StSan Diego StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StSacramento StateWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Diego StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StSan Jose StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoPenn StSacramento State
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StSacramento StateUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StMTSUUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSan Diego StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StUNLVWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StSan Diego StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUPenn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoPenn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSacramento StateWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUtah StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUPenn StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWKUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUPenn StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVUtah StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoPenn StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUPenn StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Diego StSan Jose StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUPenn StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUPenn StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StUNLVWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSan Diego StUtah StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUNew MexicoPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUNew MexicoPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSacramento StateUNLVWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSacramento StateSan Jose StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StWKUWyoming
93.3%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StUNLVWKU
92.3%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StSan Jose StUNLV
85.7%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StWKUWyoming
83.3%
<0.1%
Penn StUNLVUtah StWKU
80.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoPenn StWKU
80.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoPenn StWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StSan Diego StWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StWKUWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMTSUPenn StUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSan Jose StWKU
72.7%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StPenn StWKU
71.4%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StUtah StWKU
70.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StUtah StWKU
70.6%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StUNLVWKU
69.2%
<0.1%
MTSUPenn StSan Jose StUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
MTSUNew MexicoPenn StUNLV
66.7%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StWKUWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StUNLVWKU
62.5%
<0.1%
Boise StMTSUPenn StUNLV
60.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StUNLVWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StSan Jose StWKU
44.4%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoPenn StSan Jose St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StPenn StSan Diego St
28.6%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StUtah StWyoming
25.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSan Jose StUtah St
23.1%
<0.1%
Penn StUNLVUtah StWyoming
22.2%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StSan Jose StWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoPenn StUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StUNLVUtah St
18.8%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StUNLVUtah St
18.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoPenn StUNLV
15.4%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StPenn StWyoming
14.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoPenn StWyoming
12.5%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoPenn StWyoming
12.5%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSan Diego StUNLV
10.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSan Jose StWyoming
10.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StUNLVWyoming
9.1%
<0.1%
Penn StSan Jose StUNLVUtah St
9.1%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StNew MexicoPenn St
7.1%
<0.1%
New MexicoPenn StSan Jose StUNLV
6.7%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StPenn StUtah St
6.3%
<0.1%
Boise StPenn StUNLVWyoming
5.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StSan Jose StUNLV
5.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StUNLVUtah St
4.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StPenn StUNLVWyoming
3.9%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com