MTSU

Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

0-0 T1st (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-08-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MTSUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsAustin PeayAPSU
Win prob:90%
29/06
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:9%
39/13
@NevadaNEV
Win prob:35%
49/20
vsMarshallMRSH
Win prob:20%
59/27
@KennesawKENN
Win prob:37%
710/08
vsMissouri StMOST
Win prob:43%
910/22
@DelawareDEL
Win prob:13%
1010/29
vsJacksonville StJXST
Win prob:12%
1111/08
vsFlorida IntlFIU
Win prob:37%
1211/15
@WKUWKU
Win prob:17%
1311/22
vsSam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:34%
1411/29
@New Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:40%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

MTSURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
0%
7-1
0.1%
100.0%
6-2
0.6%
59.1%
5-3
3.6%
6.5%
4-4
12.4%
0%
3-5
25.7%
0%
2-6
31.3%
0%
1-7
20.4%
0%
0-8
5.9%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely MTSU CCG Opponents

if MTSU makes the CCG

Jacksonville StateJacksonville St
57.4%
LibertyLiberty
21.3%
DelawareDelaware
9.8%
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
6.6%
Western KentuckyWKU
4.9%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

MTSUThis Week's Impact

Game
MTSUCCG OddsAway
MTSUCCG OddsHome
Sam Houston StSHSU@WKUWKU
0.7%
(+0.1%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for MTSU

Sam Houston StSam Houston

CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 35.7%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for MTSU

Sam Houston StSam Houston

CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 35.7%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com

MTSULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
MTSU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
WKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
70.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNevadaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKennesawWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaNew Mexico StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNevadaSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNew Mexico StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKennesawNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareNew Mexico StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
DelawareWKUWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StNew Mexico St
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallWKU
40.0%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
43.3%
0.3%
Missouri StNevadaSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareMarshallWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouri StSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallNevadaNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareJacksonville StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMarshallWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNevadaSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouri StNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNevadaWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallMissouri StNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawNew Mexico StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlMissouri StNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlMarshallNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawNevadaNew Mexico StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNew Mexico StWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMissouri StNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallMissouri StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallNevadaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico StWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallNevadaNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallNevadaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNevadaNew Mexico StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareJacksonville StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareJacksonville StNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawNevadaSam Houston StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawWKUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallMissouri StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMarshallWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlMarshallWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNevadaNew Mexico StWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKennesawNevadaWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallNew Mexico StWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallMissouri StWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallNevadaWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallSam Houston StWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawMarshallWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallNew Mexico StWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallNew Mexico StWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
Missouri StNevadaWKUWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
DelawareNevadaWKUWisconsin
62.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNevadaSam Houston StWisconsin
60.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallMissouri StWisconsin
60.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallMissouri StSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKennesawMarshallWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StNevadaWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMarshallNew Mexico StWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallSam Houston StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKennesawMarshallMissouri St
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareNevadaSam Houston StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNew Mexico StSam Houston StWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StSam Houston StWKUWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallMissouri StNew Mexico St
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallSam Houston StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallWKUWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMissouri StWKUWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallWKUWisconsin
45.5%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StMarshallWisconsin
45.0%
<0.1%
MarshallSam Houston StWKUWisconsin
44.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNevadaWKUWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKennesawNevadaWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StKennesawWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
DelawareNevadaSam Houston StWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNevadaWKUWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawNew Mexico StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StNevadaWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StWKUWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallWKUWisconsin
21.4%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlJacksonville StMarshall
20.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StWKUWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
DelawareMarshallNew Mexico StWKU
16.7%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StSam Houston StWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StMarshallWKU
12.5%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StWKUWisconsin
3.2%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-08-22 • SportsSimulate.com