Big XII Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 234 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 45.2% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 33.5% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 11.1%	3.4%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 53.8% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 46.2%	3.1%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 63.3% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 30.6% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 6.1%	2.1%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 BYUBYU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 66.4% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 31.2% CincinnatiCINKansas StateKSU 2.4%	1.5%
7-2 BYUBYU TCUTCU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain TCUTCUTexas TechTTU 60.4% BYUBYUTCUTCU 26.9% Kansas StateKSUTCUTCU 6.2%	1.4%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	1.3%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU TCUTCU	TCUTCUTexas TechTTU	1.2%
7-2 CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain TCUTCUTexas TechTTU 66.6% CincinnatiCINTCUTCU 17.8% Kansas StateKSUTCUTCU 14.6%	1.1%
7-2 BYUBYU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	1.1%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	1.1%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU	TCUTCUTexas TechTTU	1.1%
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 61.6% BYUBYUUtahUTAH 20.9% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 12.6%	1.0%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 52.3% Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 47.7%	0.9%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH	0.7%
7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 94.6% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 5.4%	0.7%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 85.0% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 15.0%	0.6%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 81.3% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 7.5% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 6.0%	0.6%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 43.4% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 37.1% BYUBYUUtahUTAH 19.5%	0.6%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 HoustonHOU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 93.7% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 6.3%	0.6%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 84.2% Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 13.1% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 2.8%	0.5%
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTCUTCU 88.0% TCUTCUTexas TechTTU 5.9% CincinnatiCINTCUTCU 2.1%	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU HoustonHOU	CCG participants not 100% certain HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU 55.6% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 44.4%	0.5%
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN HoustonHOU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 36.5% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 27.2% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 15.4%	0.5%
7-2 BYUBYU HoustonHOU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU 43.2% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 40.2% Kansas StateKSUTexas TechTTU 16.0%	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU	Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU	0.5%
7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 74.6% Arizona StateASUBYUBYU 18.2% Kansas StateKSUTexas TechTTU 7.1%	0.5%
7-2 BYUBYU TCUTCU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain TCUTCUUtahUTAH 44.8% BYUBYUUtahUTAH 39.4% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 9.4%	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN HoustonHOU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 58.0% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 27.3% HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU 14.7%	0.5%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 73.0% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 27.0%	0.5%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU TCUTCU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 58.1% BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 41.9%	0.5%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	BYUBYUUtahUTAH	0.4%
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINUtahUTAH 57.3% BYUBYUUtahUTAH 42.2%	0.4%
7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINTCUTCU 51.3% BYUBYUTCUTCU 32.0% Kansas StateKSUTCUTCU 16.8%	0.4%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 TCUTCU Texas TechTTU	BYUBYUTCUTCU	0.4%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN HoustonHOU	CCG participants not 100% certain HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU 55.2% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 44.8%	0.4%
9-0 BYUBYU 7-2 Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	BYUBYUTexas TechTTU	0.4%
7-2 CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain TCUTCUTexas TechTTU 81.5% CincinnatiCINTCUTCU 13.0% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 3.4%	0.4%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU UtahUTAH	TCUTCUTexas TechTTU	0.4%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 97.4% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 2.6%	0.4%
7-2 CincinnatiCIN HoustonHOU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 46.8% HoustonHOUTexas TechTTU 34.8% Kansas StateKSUTexas TechTTU 16.7%	0.4%
7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain Arizona StateASUTexas TechTTU 75.8% Kansas StateKSUTexas TechTTU 17.1% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 4.5%	0.4%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 Arizona StateASU CincinnatiCIN Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 92.2% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 4.9% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 2.9%	0.4%
7-2 TCUTCU Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CCG participants not 100% certain TCUTCUUtahUTAH 61.8% Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH 38.2%	0.3%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 TCUTCU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINTCUTCU 59.1% CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 27.4% CincinnatiCINKansas StateKSU 13.5%	0.3%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 TCUTCU UtahUTAH	Texas TechTTUUtahUTAH	0.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN HoustonHOU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUTexas TechTTU 70.9% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 27.5%	0.3%
8-1 Texas TechTTU 7-2 BYUBYU CincinnatiCIN TCUTCU	TCUTCUTexas TechTTU	0.3%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 Texas TechTTU UtahUTAH	CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU	0.3%
8-1 CincinnatiCIN 7-2 Arizona StateASU BYUBYU Texas TechTTU	CCG participants not 100% certain CincinnatiCINTexas TechTTU 70.3% BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 29.3%	0.3%
8-1 BYUBYU 7-2 CincinnatiCIN HoustonHOU	CCG participants not 100% certain BYUBYUCincinnatiCIN 64.1% BYUBYUHoustonHOU 24.1% BYUBYUKansas StateKSU 11.8%	0.2%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head record → Record against the highest-placed common opponent → Next-highest, etc. → Strength of schedule → Total wins

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.