Big XII

Big XII Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2025-10-26

Big XIIConference Standings

T1BYUBYU5-08-054.8%
T1CincinnatiCIN5-07-130.2%
T3Texas TechTTU4-17-167.8%
T3HoustonHOU4-17-13.9%
T5TCUTCU3-26-215.6%
T5UtahUTAH3-26-214.8%
T5Arizona StASU3-25-36.3%
T5Kansas StKSU3-24-46.2%
T9BaylorBAY2-34-4<0.1%
T9Iowa StISU2-35-3<0.1%
T9KansasKU2-34-4<0.1%
T12UCFUCF1-34-3<0.1%
T12ArizonaARIZ1-34-3-
14ColoradoCOLO1-43-5-
T15Oklahoma StOKST0-51-7-
T15West VirginiaWVU0-52-6-

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Big XII CCG Matchups

130.5%
BYUBYU
vs
TTUTexas Tech
216.5%
CincinnatiCIN
vs
TTUTexas Tech
39.2%
BYUBYU
vs
CINCincinnati
47.9%
TCUTCU
vs
TTUTexas Tech
56.4%
Texas TechTTU
vs
UTAHUtah
65.8%
BYUBYU
vs
UTAHUtah
73.6%
BYUBYU
vs
TCUTCU
82.8%
Arizona StASU
vs
TTUTexas Tech
92.5%
BYUBYU
vs
KSUKansas St
102.1%
HoustonHOU
vs
TTUTexas Tech
112.0%
Arizona StASU
vs
BYUBYU
121.6%
Kansas StKSU
vs
TTUTexas Tech
131.5%
CincinnatiCIN
vs
TCUTCU
141.2%
TCUTCU
vs
UTAHUtah
151.1%
BYUBYU
vs
HOUHouston

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Big XII CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 67.8%
Game
Texas TechCCG OddsAway
Texas TechCCG OddsHome
ArizonaARIZ@ColoradoCOLO
67.5%
(-0.3%)		67.9%
(+0.1%)
Oklahoma StOKST@KansasKU
66.9%
(-0.9%)		67.8%
(+0.0%)
Texas TechTTU@Kansas StKSU
81.6%
(+13.8%)		46.5%
(-21.3%)
West VirginiaWVU@HoustonHOU
68.0%
(+0.1%)		67.8%
(-0.0%)
CincinnatiCIN@UtahUTAH
62.8%
(-5.0%)		69.1%
(+1.3%)
UCFUCF@BaylorBAY
68.0%
(+0.2%)		67.7%
(-0.2%)
Arizona StASU@Iowa StISU
66.2%
(-1.6%)		69.1%
(+1.3%)

Best Winner Combination for Texas Tech

ArizonaArizonaOklahoma StOklahoma StateWest VirginiaWest VirginiaCincinnatiCincinnatiBaylorBaylorArizona StArizona State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Texas Tech

Texas TechTexas Tech

CCG: 81.6% • Scenario: 60.8%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIICCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team9-08-17-26-3Overall
Texas TechTTU-100%73.0%1.8%67.8%
BYUBYU100%100%53.9%3.1%54.8%
CincinnatiCIN100%97.7%37.3%0.4%30.2%
TCUTCU--80.4%3.9%15.6%
UtahUTAH--54.6%5.7%14.8%
Arizona StASU--41.9%0.4%6.3%
Kansas StKSU--72.0%0.5%6.2%
HoustonHOU-87.3%21.7%<0.1%3.9%
BaylorBAY---1.0%<0.1%
Iowa StISU---0.9%<0.1%
UCFUCF---2.4%<0.1%
KansasKU---0.3%<0.1%
ArizonaARIZ---1.4%-
ColoradoCOLO-----
Oklahoma StOKST-----
West VirginiaWVU-----

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Big XIIFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team9-08-17-26-35-44-53-62-71-80-9Avg Wins
Texas TechTTU(4-1)-35.3%44.2%17.8%2.6%0.1%----7.1
BYUBYU(5-0)5.4%27.3%39.8%23.1%4.5%-----7.1
CincinnatiCIN(5-0)1.7%14.3%38.4%36.6%8.9%-----6.6
UtahUTAH(3-2)--22.9%41.3%27.3%7.8%0.8%---5.8
TCUTCU(3-2)--17.4%41.1%30.9%9.5%1.1%---5.6
Arizona StASU(3-2)--14.6%41.1%34.9%8.9%0.5%---5.6
HoustonHOU(4-1)-1.4%12.3%37.3%41.0%8.0%----5.6
Kansas StKSU(3-2)--8.4%34.6%42.9%13.7%0.4%---5.4
KansasKU(2-3)---9.5%35.1%40.6%14.4%0.4%--4.4
Iowa StISU(2-3)---8.9%35.9%39.8%14.7%0.7%--4.4
BaylorBAY(2-3)---7.7%30.6%38.5%19.8%3.5%--4.2
UCFUCF(1-3)---1.8%15.6%39.1%34.7%8.5%0.2%-3.7
ColoradoCOLO(1-4)----10.4%37.6%37.9%12.7%1.4%-3.4
ArizonaARIZ(1-3)---0.2%2.7%13.4%31.5%36.0%16.2%-2.5
West VirginiaWVU(0-5)-----<0.1%0.6%7.0%34.4%58.1%0.5
Oklahoma StOKST(0-5)-----0.0%<0.1%0.8%13.4%85.8%0.2

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com