DelawareBlue Hens

4-3 T6th (2-2) in CUSA

Data from 2025-10-26 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

8.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsDelaware StateDSU	W35-17
2	9/06	@ColoradoCOLO	L7-31
3	9/13	vsUConnCONN	W44-41
4	9/20	@Florida InternationalFIU	W38-16
6	10/03	vsWestern KentuckyWKU	L24-27
8	10/15	@Jacksonville StateJXST	L25-38
9	10/22	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	W31-28
10	11/01	@LibertyLIB	Win prob:48%
11	11/08	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:69%
12	11/15	vsSam HoustonSHSU(N)	Win prob:87%
13	11/22	@Wake ForestWAKE	Win prob:43%
14	11/29	vsUTEPUTEP	Win prob:84%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	24.8%	32.1%
5-3	45.0%	1.8%
4-4	24.8%	0%
3-5	5.1%	0%
2-6	0.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

85.6%

8.4%

3.9%

1.1%

0.9%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Sam HoustonSHSU@Louisiana TechLT	8.7% (+0.0%)	8.7% (+0.0%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Missouri StateMOST	9.8% (+1.0%)	8.1% (-0.6%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@Middle TennesseeMTSU	8.4% (-0.4%)	10.8% (+2.0%)
DelawareDEL@LibertyLIB	17.4% (+8.6%)	0.6% (-8.1%)
UTEPUTEP@Kennesaw StateKENN	10.4% (+1.7%)	8.0% (-0.7%)
New Mexico StateNMSU@Western KentuckyWKU	15.9% (+7.2%)	6.1% (-2.6%)

Best Winner Combination for

Sam Houston

Missouri State

Middle Tennessee

Delaware

UTEP

New Mexico State

CCG: 49.2% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Delaware

CCG: 17.4% • Scenario: 48.4%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

32.1%

10.6%

Any 1 loss

14.5%

33.5%

32.0%

14.1%

3.1%

1.6%

2.3%

2.0%

2.1%

4.6%

1.1%

11.2%

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-26 • SportsSimulate.com