Atlantic Coast Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 277 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	1.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	1.0%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA 96.8% MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA 3.2%	0.9%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.9%
7-1 LouisvilleLOU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.8%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.8%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 87.4% DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 12.6%	0.8%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.7%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTLouisvilleLOU 68.0% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 18.8% Georgia TechGTMiamiMIA 13.2%	0.6%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 72.8% MiamiMIASMUSMU 27.2%	0.6%
7-1 VirginiaUVA 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.5%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	0.5%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 75.5% DukeDUKESMUSMU 24.5%	0.5%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 79.5% DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 19.2% MiamiMIAPittsburghPITT 1.0%	0.5%
7-1 LouisvilleLOU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 98.0% DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 2.0%	0.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTLouisvilleLOU 72.5% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 23.5% Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT 4.0%	0.4%
7-1 VirginiaUVA 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA 99.5%	0.4%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.4%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.4%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA 73.5% MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA 26.2%	0.3%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA 95.3% DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA 4.7%	0.3%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT 53.7% LouisvilleLOUPittsburghPITT 45.6%	0.3%
6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA 98.3% MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA 1.7%	0.3%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.3%
7-1 LouisvilleLOU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 98.1% DukeDUKEPittsburghPITT 1.1%	0.3%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 87.7% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 12.3%	0.3%
7-1 LouisvilleLOU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
7-1 LouisvilleLOU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA 99.2%	0.2%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.2%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.2%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.2%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.2%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	0.2%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA 99.5%	0.2%
7-1 VirginiaUVA 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.2%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 96.5% DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 3.5%	0.2%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.2%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUSMUSMU 97.5% DukeDUKESMUSMU 1.5% PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 1.0%	0.2%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 83.4% Georgia TechGTMiamiMIA 16.6%	0.2%
7-1 VirginiaUVA 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA 79.5% MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA 20.5%	0.2%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.2%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against next-best common opponent → Strength of schedule

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.