Texas

TexasLonghorns

7-2 5th (4-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-11-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

11.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

TexasSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
L7-14
29/06
W38-7
39/13
W27-10
49/20
W55-0
610/04
L21-29
710/11
W23-6
810/18
W16-13
910/25
W45-38
1011/01
W34-31
1211/15
Win prob:28%
1311/22
Win prob:90%
1411/28
Win prob:67%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TexasRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-1
17.0%
68.9%
6-2
53.2%
0.4%
5-3
27.4%
0%
4-4
2.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Texas CCG Opponents

if Texas makes the CCG

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TexasThis Week's Impact

Game
TexasCCG OddsAway
TexasCCG OddsHome
11.7%
(-0.2%)
12.0%
(+0.1%)
11.9%
(+0.1%)
11.8%
(-0.1%)
11.8%
(-0.1%)
13.1%
(+1.2%)
11.9%
(+0.1%)
11.9%
(-0.0%)
7.2%
(-4.7%)
17.3%
(+5.4%)
12.6%
(+0.7%)
11.8%
(-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Texas

AuburnAuburnKentuckyKentuckyMississippi StMississippi StateThe CitadelThe CitadelTexas A&MTexas A&MLSULSU

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Texas

MissouriMissouri

CCG: 17.3% • Scenario: 46.4%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TexasLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Texas CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
68.9%
17.0%
Any 1 loss
1.0%
10.2%
Arkansas
3.0%
1.9%
Texas A&M
0.6%
8.3%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TexasCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com