SEC Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

Filter by team:

50 of 54 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
9-0 AlabamaALA 8-1 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	4.0%
9-0 AlabamaALA Texas A&MTA&M 8-1 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M	3.6%
8-1 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 95.8% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 4.0%	2.0%
9-0 Texas A&MTA&M 8-1 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 62.2% GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 37.8%	2.0%
9-0 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 61.2% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 38.8%	0.2%
9-0 AlabamaALA 8-1 Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 90.9% AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 9.1%	0.2%
9-0 AlabamaALA 8-1 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 91.2% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 8.8%	0.1%
8-1 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 80.2% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 19.8%	0.1%
8-1 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 47.7% AlabamaALATexasTEX 39.5% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 12.8%	<0.1%
8-1 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	<0.1%
8-1 Ole MissMISS 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 52.5% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 45.8% Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 1.7%	<0.1%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 51.7% GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 36.2% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 12.1%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAOklahomaOU 67.9% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 19.6% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 12.5%	<0.1%
8-1 Ole MissMISS 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA OklahomaOU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain Ole MissMISSOklahomaOU 90.7% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 7.4% Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 1.8%	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 87.5% AlabamaALATexasTEX 10.4% AlabamaALAVanderbiltVAN 2.1%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 69.2% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 30.8%	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA Texas A&MTA&M 8-1 GeorgiaUGA	AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA 8-1 GeorgiaUGA Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	<0.1%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 59.0% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 41.0%	<0.1%
8-1 Ole MissMISS 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA MissouriMIZ TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 92.6% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 7.4%	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	<0.1%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain OklahomaOUTexasTEX 84.0% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 16.0%	<0.1%
8-1 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 67.7% AlabamaALATexasTEX 32.4%	<0.1%
8-1 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 64.7% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 35.3%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 37.9% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 31.0% GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 31.0%	<0.1%
8-1 Ole MissMISS 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 72.2% Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 27.8%	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA 8-1 Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	AlabamaALATexasTEX	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 85.7% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 14.3%	<0.1%
8-1 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAOklahomaOU 47.6% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 38.1% AlabamaALATexasTEX 14.3%	<0.1%
8-1 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 54.2% AlabamaALATexasTEX 45.8%	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 91.7% GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 8.3%	<0.1%
9-0 Texas A&MTA&M 8-1 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M	<0.1%
9-0 Texas A&MTA&M 8-1 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA	AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M	<0.1%
9-0 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 45.0% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 30.0% GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 25.0%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 58.3% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 41.7%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 81.8% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 18.2%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAOklahomaOU 80.0% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 20.0%	<0.1%
9-0 AlabamaALA 7-2 GeorgiaUGA TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 66.7% AlabamaALATexasTEX 33.3%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 41.7% GeorgiaUGAOklahomaOU 41.7% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 16.7%	<0.1%
8-1 Ole MissMISS 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA OklahomaOU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	CCG participants not 100% certain Ole MissMISSOklahomaOU 92.3% Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 7.7%	<0.1%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 76.9% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 23.1%	<0.1%
9-0 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 64.3% OklahomaOUTexas A&MTA&M 35.7%	<0.1%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	<0.1%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS OklahomaOU TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain OklahomaOUTexas A&MTA&M 60.0% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 33.3% GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 6.7%	<0.1%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M VanderbiltVAN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 91.7% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 8.3%	<0.1%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 70.0% AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 20.0% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 10.0%	<0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Combined record against next-highest teams → Strength of schedule → Scoring margin

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.