Ole MissRebels

8-1 T3rd (5-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-11-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

12.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsGeorgia StateGAST	W63-7
2	9/06	@KentuckyUK	W30-23
3	9/13	vsArkansasARK	W41-35
4	9/20	vsTulaneTULN	W45-10
5	9/27	vsLSULSU	W24-19
7	10/11	vsWashington StateWSU	W24-21
8	10/18	@GeorgiaUGA	L35-43
9	10/25	@OklahomaOU	W34-26
10	11/01	vsSouth CarolinaSC	W30-14
11	11/08	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
12	11/15	vsFloridaFLA	Win prob:90%
14	11/28	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:91%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	81.3%	15.8%
6-2	17.8%	0.1%
5-3	1.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

48.6%

31.0%

14.1%

5.8%

0.5%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
AuburnAUB@VanderbiltVAN	11.4% (-1.4%)	13.5% (+0.7%)
FloridaFLA@KentuckyUK	11.8% (-1.0%)	14.5% (+1.6%)
GeorgiaUGA@Mississippi StateMSST	10.7% (-2.2%)	45.7% (+32.8%)
The CitadelCIT@Ole MissMISS	12.6% (-0.2%)	12.9% (+0.0%)
Texas A&MTA&M@MissouriMIZ	11.7% (-1.1%)	14.1% (+1.3%)
LSULSU@AlabamaALA	35.8% (+22.9%)	9.5% (-3.4%)

Best Winner Combination for

Auburn

Kentucky

Mississippi State

The Citadel

Missouri

LSU

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

LSU

CCG: 35.8% • Scenario: 12.7%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

15.8%

73.1%

15.4%

8.1%

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com