Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | W61-6 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W42-31 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W52-10 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W29-20 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W42-6 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L24-27 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W23-17 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | L10-17 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:46% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:86% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:42% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:67% |
Data from 2025-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 11.3% | 0.2% |
| 5-3 | 36.0% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 37.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 13.9% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 1.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.3%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Auburn
Kentucky
Mississippi State
The CitadelMissouri
AlabamaCCG: 4.4% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Mississippi StateMissouriCCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 2.9%
Data from 2025-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-02