Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W45-3 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W44-20 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W31-7 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W70-21 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | W55-35 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | L14-30 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W31-24 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | W17-10 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | L31-34 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:67% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:86% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:34% |
Data from 2025-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 19.6% | 0.1% |
| 5-3 | 51.1% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 26.3% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 3.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-02
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Vanderbilt
Florida
Mississippi State
The Citadel
Missouri
LSUCCG: 7.7% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
VanderbiltMissouriCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 31.3%
Data from 2025-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-02