Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	7-1	7-2	6-2	6-3	Overall
DukeDUKE	100%	-	30.0%	-	52.9%
SMUSMU	84.8%	-	4.6%	-	43.9%
Georgia TechGT	100%	-	7.8%	-	42.9%
VirginiaUVA	-	72.6%	-	<0.1%	20.4%
PittsburghPITT	80.8%	-	4.1%	-	15.3%
LouisvilleLOU	-	-	56.6%	-	14.7%
MiamiMIA	-	-	18.3%	-	10.0%
Boston CollegeBC	-	-	-	-	-
CaliforniaCAL	-	-	-	-	-
ClemsonCLEM	-	-	-	-	-
Florida StateFSU	-	-	-	-	-
NC StateNCSU	-	-	-	<0.1%	-
North CarolinaUNC	-	-	-	-	-
StanfordSTAN	-	-	-	-	-
SyracuseSYR	-	-	-	-	-
Virginia TechVT	-	-	-	-	-
Wake ForestWAKE	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	7-1	7-2	6-2	6-3	5-3	5-4	4-4	4-5	3-5	3-6	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
SMUSMU(5-1)	49.3%	0.0%	44.4%	0.0%	6.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6.4
Georgia TechGT(5-1)	39.0%	0.0%	49.9%	0.0%	11.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6.3
DukeDUKE(4-1)	39.7%	0.0%	44.1%	0.0%	14.8%	0.0%	1.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6.2
VirginiaUVA(5-2)	-	28.0%	0.0%	57.2%	0.0%	14.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6.1
PittsburghPITT(5-1)	16.4%	0.0%	50.1%	0.0%	33.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5.8
MiamiMIA(3-2)	-	-	54.5%	0.0%	38.6%	0.0%	6.6%	0.0%	0.3%	-	-	-	-	5.5
LouisvilleLOU(4-2)	-	-	25.9%	0.0%	52.0%	0.0%	22.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5.0
NC StateNCSU(3-3)	-	-	-	2.4%	0.0%	30.1%	0.0%	51.5%	0.0%	15.9%	-	-	-	4.2
CaliforniaCAL(3-3)	-	-	-	-	9.8%	0.0%	58.8%	0.0%	31.4%	-	-	-	-	3.8
Wake ForestWAKE(3-3)	-	-	-	-	8.4%	0.0%	54.3%	0.0%	37.3%	-	-	-	-	3.7
ClemsonCLEM(3-4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	37.7%	0.0%	62.3%	-	-	-	-	3.4
North CarolinaUNC(2-3)	-	-	-	-	3.4%	0.0%	21.9%	0.0%	45.3%	0.0%	29.4%	-	-	3.0
Virginia TechVT(2-3)	-	-	-	-	0.5%	0.0%	7.5%	0.0%	36.6%	0.0%	55.4%	-	-	2.5
Florida StateFSU(1-5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	49.7%	0.0%	42.9%	7.4%	-	2.4
StanfordSTAN(2-5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	37.0%	0.0%	63.0%	-	-	2.4
SyracuseSYR(1-6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	55.2%	44.8%	-	1.6
Boston CollegeBC(0-6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	9.9%	46.9%	43.1%	0.7

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com