Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
43.9%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W42-13 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L45-48 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W28-10 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L24-35 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W31-18 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | W34-10 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | W35-24 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | L12-13 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | W26-20 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | W45-13 | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:58% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:84% |
Data from 2025-11-09
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 49.3% | 84.8% |
| 6-2 | 44.4% | 4.6% |
| 5-3 | 6.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-09
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-11-09
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 40.5% (-3.4%) | 55.9% (+12.1%) | |
| 44.1% (+0.2%) | 43.8% (-0.0%) | |
| 45.3% (+1.4%) | 43.0% (-0.9%) | |
| 43.8% (-0.1%) | 43.9% (+0.0%) | |
| 43.9% (-0.0%) | 44.0% (+0.1%) | |
| 43.5% (-0.4%) | 44.2% (+0.3%) | |
| 51.0% (+7.2%) | 39.8% (-4.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Boston College
NC State
Clemson
Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh
Wake ForestCCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Boston CollegeCCG: 55.9% • Scenario: 22.0%
Data from 2025-11-09
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
84.8%
49.3%Any 1 loss
4.6%
44.4%
13.3%
9.1%
2.4%
35.2%Data from 2025-11-09
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-09