Atlantic Coast Conference Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 189 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKESMUSMU 61.3% MiamiMIASMUSMU 38.7%	2.8%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 87.4% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 12.6%	1.9%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 97.2% DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 2.8%	1.9%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	1.8%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA SMUSMU	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	1.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 93.9% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 5.1%	1.3%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTLouisvilleLOU 66.5% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 30.9% Georgia TechGTMiamiMIA 2.6%	1.2%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 58.6% DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 41.4%	1.2%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain PittsburghPITTSMUSMU 58.6% Georgia TechGTSMUSMU 41.4%	1.1%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	1.1%
7-1 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT SMUSMU	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	0.9%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.8%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.8%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.8%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT	0.8%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.8%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIASMUSMU 62.2% DukeDUKESMUSMU 37.8%	0.8%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUPittsburghPITT 96.3% DukeDUKEPittsburghPITT 3.7%	0.8%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKESMUSMU 74.9% MiamiMIASMUSMU 25.1%	0.8%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.8%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 55.6% DukeDUKEPittsburghPITT 22.7% DukeDUKESMUSMU 21.7%	0.8%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU	0.8%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT SMUSMU	Georgia TechGTPittsburghPITT	0.8%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain Georgia TechGTLouisvilleLOU 65.8% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 34.2%	0.7%
7-1 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKESMUSMU 96.4% DukeDUKEPittsburghPITT 3.6%	0.7%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 59.3% DukeDUKESMUSMU 40.7%	0.6%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT	MiamiMIASMUSMU	0.6%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.5%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU	0.5%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 55.9% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 35.5% DukeDUKESMUSMU 8.6%	0.5%
7-1 DukeDUKE 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU	0.5%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.5%
6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain MiamiMIAVirginiaUVA 94.9% SMUSMUVirginiaUVA 4.7%	0.5%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.5%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 50.3% DukeDUKESMUSMU 25.8% DukeDUKEPittsburghPITT 23.9%	0.5%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 MiamiMIA SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.5%
6-2 Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA	0.5%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 90.1% Georgia TechGTLouisvilleLOU 5.9% LouisvilleLOUPittsburghPITT 4.0%	0.5%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.5%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	0.5%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 DukeDUKE PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.5%
7-1 PittsburghPITT 6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	PittsburghPITTVirginiaUVA	0.4%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.4%
6-2 DukeDUKE LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA PittsburghPITT SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 79.4% DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 20.6%	0.4%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	CCG participants not 100% certain LouisvilleLOUVirginiaUVA 94.1% DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA 5.9%	0.4%
7-1 Georgia TechGT 6-2 PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	Georgia TechGTVirginiaUVA	0.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT LouisvilleLOU MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKELouisvilleLOU 65.2% LouisvilleLOUMiamiMIA 34.8%	0.3%
7-1 SMUSMU 6-2 Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA VirginiaUVA	SMUSMUVirginiaUVA	0.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT MiamiMIA SMUSMU	CCG participants not 100% certain DukeDUKEMiamiMIA 52.9% DukeDUKESMUSMU 25.2% DukeDUKEGeorgia TechGT 17.0%	0.3%
6-2 DukeDUKE Georgia TechGT PittsburghPITT SMUSMU VirginiaUVA	DukeDUKEVirginiaUVA	0.3%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Record against next-best common opponent → Strength of schedule

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.