VirginiaCavaliers

8-2 5th (5-2) in ACC

Data from 2025-11-09 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

20.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsCoastal CarolinaCCU	W48-7
2	9/06	@NC StateNCSU	L31-35
3	9/13	vsWilliam & MaryW&M	W55-16
4	9/20	vsStanfordSTAN	W48-20
5	9/26	vsFlorida StateFSU	W46-38
6	10/04	@LouisvilleLOU	W30-27
8	10/18	vsWashington StateWSU	W22-20
9	10/25	@North CarolinaUNC	W17-16
10	11/01	@CaliforniaCAL	W31-21
11	11/08	vsWake ForestWAKE	L9-16
12	11/15	@DukeDUKE	Win prob:36%
14	11/29	vsVirginia TechVT	Win prob:77%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

if makes the CCG

32.6%

29.5%

16.5%

12.3%

9.2%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Georgia TechGT@Boston CollegeBC	18.8% (-1.5%)	25.8% (+5.4%)
NC StateNCSU@MiamiMIA	20.3% (-0.1%)	20.4% (+0.0%)
ClemsonCLEM@LouisvilleLOU	20.0% (-0.4%)	20.6% (+0.2%)
Virginia TechVT@Florida StateFSU	19.9% (-0.5%)	20.5% (+0.1%)
Notre DameND@PittsburghPITT	20.3% (-0.0%)	20.6% (+0.3%)
North CarolinaUNC@Wake ForestWAKE	20.3% (-0.1%)	20.4% (+0.0%)
VirginiaUVA@DukeDUKE	56.0% (+35.6%)	0.0% (-20.4%)