HoustonCougars

8-2 4th (5-2) in B12

Data from 2025-11-09 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsStephen F. AustinSFA	W27-0
2	9/06	@RiceRICE	W35-9
3	9/12	vsColoradoCOLO	W36-20
5	9/26	@Oregon StateORST	W27-24
6	10/04	vsTexas TechTTU	L11-35
7	10/11	@Oklahoma StateOKST	W39-17
8	10/18	vsArizonaARIZ	W31-28
9	10/25	@Arizona StateASU	W24-16
10	11/01	vsWest VirginiaWVU	L35-45
11	11/07	@UCFUCF	W30-27
13	11/22	vsTCUTCU	Win prob:26%
14	11/29	@BaylorBAY	Win prob:23%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	6.1%	12.6%
6-3	37.2%	0.1%
5-4	56.7%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

93.8%

2.5%

2.5%

1.2%

0.0%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
ArizonaARIZ@CincinnatiCIN	0.9% (+0.2%)	0.7% (-0.1%)
UCFUCF@Texas TechTTU	1.1% (+0.4%)	0.8% (-0.0%)
Kansas StateKSU@Oklahoma StateOKST	0.8% (+0.0%)	0.7% (-0.1%)
West VirginiaWVU@Arizona StateASU	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.8% (-0.0%)
UtahUTAH@BaylorBAY	0.5% (-0.3%)	2.1% (+1.3%)
TCUTCU@BYUBYU	1.6% (+0.8%)	0.3% (-0.5%)

Best Winner Combination for

Arizona

Texas Tech

Oklahoma State

West Virginia

Baylor

TCU

CCG: 11.1% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

TCU

CCG: 1.6% • Scenario: 39.0%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

12.6%

6.1%

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-11-09 • SportsSimulate.com