Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W40-6 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W48-3 | |
| 3 | 9/12 | W23-17 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L14-39 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W41-13 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L27-33 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L28-31 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | W52-17 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | W24-20 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:40% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:52% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:37% |
Data from 2025-11-09
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 5-4 | 31.5% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 42.6% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 18.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-09
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 0.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 13.2%
Data from 2025-11-09
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-09