Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | W35-17 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L7-31 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W44-41 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W38-16 | |
| 6 | 10/03 | L24-27 | |
| 8 | 10/15 | L25-38 | |
| 9 | 10/22 | W31-28 | |
| 10 | 11/01 | L30-59 | |
| 11 | 11/08 | W25-24 | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:87% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:42% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:78% |
Data from 2025-11-09
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 67.4% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 29.8% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 2.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-11-09
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Louisiana Tech
Middle Tennessee
New Mexico State
Florida International
UTEP
Jacksonville StateCCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
DelawareMiddle TennesseeUTEPJacksonville StateCCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 3.5%
Data from 2025-11-09
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-11-09