WyomingCowboys

2-2 T4th (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	@AkronAKR	W10-0
2	9/06	vsNorthern IowaUNI	W31-7
3	9/13	vsUtahUTAH	L6-31
4	9/20	@ColoradoCOLO	L20-37
6	10/04	vsUNLVUNLV	Win prob:20%
7	10/11	vsSan José StateSJSU	Win prob:45%
8	10/18	@Air ForceAF	Win prob:35%
9	10/25	vsColorado StateCSU	Win prob:55%
10	11/01	@San Diego StateSDSU	Win prob:50%
12	11/15	@Fresno StateFRES	Win prob:27%
13	11/22	vsNevadaNEV	Win prob:66%
14	11/29	@Hawai'iHAW	Win prob:59%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.1%	100.0%
7-1	1.2%	88.1%
6-2	6.3%	30.4%
5-3	16.8%	0.9%
4-4	27.6%	0%
3-5	26.9%	0%
2-6	15.6%	0%
1-7	4.9%	0%
0-8	0.6%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

43.6%

35.7%

10.5%

5.2%

4.9%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Utah StateUSU@VanderbiltVAN	3.1% (-0.1%)	3.2% (+0.0%)
Washington StateWSU@Colorado StateCSU	3.1% (-0.1%)	3.3% (+0.1%)
San Diego StateSDSU@Northern IllinoisNIU	2.9% (-0.3%)	3.3% (+0.1%)
Hawai'iHAW@Air ForceAF	3.4% (+0.2%)	3.1% (-0.1%)
San José StateSJSU@StanfordSTAN	3.2% (+0.0%)	3.2% (+0.0%)
New Mexico StateNMSU@New MexicoUNM	3.2% (+0.0%)	3.2% (+0.0%)
App StateAPP@Boise StateBOIS	3.0% (-0.2%)	3.2% (+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Vanderbilt

Colorado State

San Diego State

Hawai'i

Stanford

New Mexico State

App State

CCG: 15.8% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Vanderbilt

Northern Illinois

Boise State

CCG: 3.4% • Scenario: 52.6%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

88.1%

1.2%

98.3%

<0.1%

97.7%

<0.1%

95.2%

<0.1%

93.9%

0.2%

92.3%

<0.1%

88.7%

0.2%

86.9%

0.1%

79.0%

0.4%

Any 2 losses

30.4%

6.3%

73.6%

<0.1%

60.0%

0.1%

59.6%

0.1%

56.8%

0.2%

55.6%

0.1%

50.6%

<0.1%

48.5%

<0.1%

47.5%

<0.1%

46.0%

<0.1%

43.0%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

42.5%

<0.1%

41.1%

<0.1%

39.3%

0.2%

38.7%

0.1%

38.1%

0.2%

36.4%

0.5%

35.7%

0.3%

34.3%

0.1%

30.0%

0.3%

27.9%

0.2%

27.1%

0.3%

25.4%

0.7%

23.7%

0.2%

23.3%

0.4%

22.4%

0.3%

15.2%

0.4%

13.2%

1.0%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com