ColoradoBuffaloes

2-2 T6th (0-1) in B12

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsGeorgia TechGT	L20-27
2	9/06	vsDelawareDEL	W31-7
3	9/12	@HoustonHOU	L20-36
4	9/20	vsWyomingWYO	W37-20
5	9/27	vsBYUBYU	Win prob:49%
6	10/04	@TCUTCU	Win prob:27%
7	10/11	vsIowa StateISU	Win prob:57%
9	10/25	@UtahUTAH	Win prob:34%
10	11/01	vsArizonaARIZ	Win prob:75%
11	11/08	@West VirginiaWVU	Win prob:60%
13	11/22	vsArizona StateASU	Win prob:41%
14	11/29	@Kansas StateKSU	Win prob:37%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.2%	99.4%
7-2	1.8%	76.6%
6-3	8.0%	11.5%
5-4	19.6%	0.0%
4-5	28.5%	0%
3-6	25.1%	0%
2-7	13.0%	0%
1-8	3.5%	0%
0-9	0.4%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

30.6%

28.6%

19.9%

11.2%

9.7%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
BYUBYU@ColoradoCOLO	0.6% (-1.8%)	4.4% (+1.9%)
CincinnatiCIN@KansasKU	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.5% (+0.0%)
TCUTCU@Arizona StateASU	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.5% (+0.0%)
BaylorBAY@Oklahoma StateOKST	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.6% (+0.1%)
HoustonHOU@Oregon StateORST	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.5% (+0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@Iowa StateISU	2.6% (+0.2%)	2.4% (-0.1%)
UCFUCF@Kansas StateKSU	2.1% (-0.3%)	2.6% (+0.1%)
UtahUTAH@West VirginiaWVU	2.5% (-0.0%)	2.5% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Colorado

Cincinnati

TCU

Oklahoma State

Oregon State

Arizona

Kansas State

West Virginia

CCG: 14.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Colorado

CCG: 4.4% • Scenario: 49.0%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.4%

0.2%

Any 1 loss

76.6%

1.8%

88.2%

<0.1%

83.7%

0.1%

80.0%

0.1%

78.1%

0.5%

77.4%

0.3%

77.2%

0.2%

74.2%

0.4%

68.6%

0.3%

Any 2 losses

11.4%

8.0%

19.8%

0.1%

19.2%

<0.1%

18.5%

0.2%

17.6%

<0.1%

17.4%

<0.1%

16.8%

0.1%

15.9%

0.3%

15.7%

<0.1%

14.9%

0.1%

13.7%

0.4%

13.3%

0.1%

13.0%

0.3%

11.8%

<0.1%

11.5%

0.4%

11.2%

0.4%

11.2%

0.5%

11.0%

0.3%

11.0%

0.9%

10.8%

0.3%

10.7%

0.8%

10.0%

0.5%

9.6%

0.2%

9.6%

0.2%

9.6%

0.1%

9.3%

0.5%

9.2%

0.3%

9.0%

0.2%

8.1%

0.7%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com