Vanderbilt

VanderbiltCommodores

4-0 T1st (1-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

VanderbiltSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsCharleston SouthernCHSO
W45-3
29/06
@Virginia TechVT
W44-20
39/13
@South CarolinaSC
W31-7
49/20
vsGeorgia StGAST
W70-21
59/27
vsUtah StUSU
Win prob:82%
610/04
@AlabamaALA
Win prob:12%
810/18
vsLSULSU
Win prob:45%
910/25
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:43%
1011/01
@TexasTEX
Win prob:17%
1111/08
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:53%
1311/22
vsKentuckyUK
Win prob:71%
1411/29
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:23%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.7%
81.2%
6-2
4.7%
15.4%
5-3
17.0%
0.0%
4-4
31.4%
0%
3-5
29.7%
0%
2-6
14.0%
0%
1-7
2.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Vanderbilt CCG Opponents

if Vanderbilt makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
58.1%
Ole MissMississippi
16.1%
AlabamaAlabama
16.1%
TexasTexas
7.3%
MissouriMissouri
2.4%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltThis Week's Impact

Game
VanderbiltCCG OddsAway
VanderbiltCCG OddsHome
Utah StUSU@VanderbiltVAN
1.2%
(-0.1%)		1.3%
(+0.0%)
Notre DameND@ArkansasARK
1.3%
(+0.0%)		1.3%
(+0.0%)
AlabamaALA@GeorgiaUGA
1.4%
(+0.1%)		1.2%
(-0.1%)
MassachusettsMASS@MissouriMIZ
0.8%
(-0.5%)		1.3%
(+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@South CarolinaSC
1.4%
(+0.1%)		1.3%
(-0.0%)
LSULSU@MississippiMISS
1.8%
(+0.5%)		1.1%
(-0.1%)
AuburnAUB@Texas A&MTA&M
1.4%
(+0.1%)		1.2%
(-0.1%)
TennesseeTENN@Mississippi StMSST
1.3%
(-0.0%)		1.4%
(+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Vanderbilt

AlabamaAlabamaMassachusettsMassachusettsSouth CarolinaSouth CarolinaLSULSUAuburnAuburnMississippi StMississippi State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Vanderbilt

LSULSU

CCG: 1.8% • Scenario: 21.2%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Vanderbilt CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
83.0%
0.6%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
96.0%
<0.1%
LSU
92.3%
<0.1%
Tennessee
91.1%
<0.1%
Missouri
85.7%
<0.1%
Alabama
81.4%
0.2%
Texas
75.4%
0.1%
Kentucky
66.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
16.9%
4.0%
TennesseeUtah St
84.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaUtah St
82.3%
<0.1%
MissouriUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
AuburnUtah St
75.0%
<0.1%
TexasUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas
29.1%
<0.1%
MissouriTennessee
26.1%
0.1%
AuburnTennessee
25.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLSU
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUTennessee
24.3%
0.1%
MissouriTexas
23.0%
0.2%
KentuckyLSU
21.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennessee
21.3%
<0.1%
LSUMissouri
20.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburn
20.1%
0.2%
KentuckyMissouri
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTexas
18.3%
0.1%
AlabamaTennessee
16.4%
0.7%
AlabamaMissouri
15.8%
0.3%
TennesseeTexas
14.1%
0.4%
AlabamaLSU
12.1%
0.2%
LSUTexas
12.0%
0.2%
AlabamaKentucky
11.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouri
11.1%
<0.1%
AuburnKentucky
10.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas
9.6%
1.0%
Any 3 losses
15.4%
0.8%
AuburnTennesseeUtah St
44.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriUtah St
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnKentuckyUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeUtah St
24.3%
<0.1%
MissouriTexasUtah St
21.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouriUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnUtah St
17.1%
<0.1%
LSUTennesseeUtah St
16.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyUtah St
15.8%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexasUtah St
14.6%
<0.1%
AuburnTexasUtah St
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennesseeUtah St
12.7%
0.1%
AlabamaLSUUtah St
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexasUtah St
12.2%
0.2%
LSUTexasUtah St
11.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennesseeTexasUtah St
2.2%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com