WyomingCowboys

3-4 T7th (1-2) in MWC

Data from 2025-10-19 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	@AkronAKR	W10-0
2	9/06	vsNorthern IowaUNI	W31-7
3	9/13	vsUtahUTAH	L6-31
4	9/20	@ColoradoCOLO	L20-37
6	10/04	vsUNLVUNLV	L17-31
7	10/11	vsSan José StateSJSU	W35-28
8	10/18	@Air ForceAF	L21-24
9	10/25	vsColorado StateCSU	Win prob:51%
10	11/01	@San Diego StateSDSU	Win prob:19%
12	11/15	@Fresno StateFRES	Win prob:33%
13	11/22	vsNevadaNEV	Win prob:76%
14	11/29	@Hawai'iHAW	Win prob:42%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	1.1%	21.8%
5-3	9.1%	0.3%
4-4	28.4%	0%
3-5	37.1%	0%
2-6	20.8%	0%
1-7	3.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

56.0%

32.0%

12.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Utah StateUSU@New MexicoUNM	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Colorado StateCSU@WyomingWYO	0.0% (-0.3%)	0.5% (+0.2%)
Boise StateBOIS@NevadaNEV	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.6% (+0.3%)
San Diego StateSDSU@Fresno StateFRES	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Utah State

Wyoming

Nevada

Fresno State

CCG: 1.6% • Scenario: 0.6%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Wyoming

CCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 51.0%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

21.8%

1.1%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com