Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | L0-10 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L0-68 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L28-31 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | W51-7 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L3-45 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | W28-22 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | L7-20 | |
| 8 | 10/18 | L28-42 | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:8% | |
| 10 | 11/04 | Win prob:74% | |
| 11 | 11/11 | Win prob:65% | |
| 12 | 11/18 | Win prob:7% |
Data from 2025-10-19
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 4-4 | 7.0% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 47.3% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 37.6% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 7.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-19
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 2.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 2.2%
Data from 2025-10-19
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-19