California

CaliforniaGolden Bears

0-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

CaliforniaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
Win prob:90%
29/07
Win prob:32%
39/14
Win prob:67%
49/21
Win prob:26%
610/05
Win prob:39%
710/12
Win prob:42%
810/19
Win prob:40%
910/26
Win prob:35%
1111/08
Win prob:50%
1211/16
Win prob:71%
1311/23
Win prob:80%
1411/30
Win prob:19%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
1.2%
93.0%
6-2
6.5%
32.5%
5-3
17.6%
0.4%
4-4
28.8%
0%
3-5
27.3%
0%
2-6
14.3%
0%
1-7
3.8%
0%
0-8
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely California CCG Opponents

if California makes the CCG

35.5%
17.1%
15.4%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaThis Week's Impact

Game
CaliforniaCCG OddsAway
CaliforniaCCG OddsHome
3.4%
(+0.0%)
3.3%
(-0.0%)
3.5%
(+0.1%)
3.3%
(-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for California

NevadaNevadaFlorida StFlorida State

CCG: 3.5% • Scenario: 6.5%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for California

Florida StFlorida State

CCG: 3.5% • Scenario: 57.3%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
California CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
97.0%
0.1%
NC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Wake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Syracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
100.0%
<0.1%
Stanford
100.0%
<0.1%
SMU
94.7%
<0.1%
Florida St
94.1%
<0.1%
Pittsburgh
85.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
59.0%
0.8%
AuburnOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
SMUUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
SyracuseWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMU
97.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon St
95.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StWake Forest
93.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FL
93.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC State
92.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburgh
92.3%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego St
91.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida St
89.2%
<0.1%
AuburnSMU
85.3%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon St
85.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSyracuse
80.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon St
75.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLWake Forest
72.7%
<0.1%
StanfordWake Forest
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
SMUStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
PittsburghSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburgh
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateWake Forest
46.2%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburgh
42.9%
<0.1%
Florida StWake Forest
41.7%
<0.1%
Florida StPittsburgh
39.1%
<0.1%
SMUWake Forest
38.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMU
32.6%
<0.1%
PittsburghWake Forest
28.6%
<0.1%
Florida StNC State
27.3%
<0.1%
Florida StSMU
27.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLStanford
25.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMU
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StStanford
20.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSMU
19.6%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC State
18.8%
<0.1%
SMUSyracuse
18.2%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FL
16.7%
<0.1%
NC StateSyracuse
14.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
43.3%
2.5%
AuburnOregon StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StStanfordUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnUC DavisWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUC DavisWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSan Diego StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSyracuseUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnStanfordUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMU
97.6%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSyracuse
91.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon St
90.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego St
90.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StSyracuseWake Forest
88.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon St
87.9%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego St
86.4%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego St
84.6%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego St
81.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego St
81.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUUC Davis
80.0%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego StSyracuse
80.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghSan Diego StWake Forest
80.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSyracuse
75.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StUC Davis
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnSyracuseWake Forest
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
PittsburghSan Diego StStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSyracuse
62.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghStanford
60.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSyracuse
60.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StStanford
57.1%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego StWake Forest
55.6%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghUC Davis
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnStanfordWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StPittsburgh
47.6%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLWake Forest
47.4%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StWake Forest
47.2%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUStanford
46.2%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUWake Forest
46.2%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StPittsburgh
45.8%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StWake Forest
45.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StPittsburgh
45.2%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StWake Forest
44.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLSan Diego StWake Forest
42.9%
<0.1%
SMUUC DavisWake Forest
42.9%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateOregon St
41.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSan Diego StWake Forest
40.0%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego StWake Forest
40.0%
<0.1%
Florida StPittsburghSan Diego St
40.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghUC Davis
40.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMUSan Diego St
39.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUWake Forest
38.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StWake Forest
37.5%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSyracuse
37.5%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StPittsburgh
37.2%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FL
36.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSMU
36.8%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
SMUSyracuseUC Davis
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMUUC Davis
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMUUC Davis
33.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMU
32.8%
<0.1%
Florida StSMUSan Diego St
32.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSyracuse
32.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StatePittsburgh
32.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLSan Diego St
31.6%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSMU
31.3%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSyracuse
30.4%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMUSan Diego St
29.2%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSMU
29.1%
0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSyracuse
28.6%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego StSyracuse
28.6%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburghSan Diego St
28.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StNC State
27.5%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLPittsburgh
26.5%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateOregon St
25.6%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLStanford
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLUC Davis
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StPittsburghUC Davis
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StStanford
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC State
22.7%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSMU
22.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSMU
21.7%
0.1%
Florida StSMUUC Davis
21.4%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLOregon St
20.4%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSMU
20.2%
<0.1%
NC StateSMUUC Davis
20.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSMU
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida StUC DavisWake Forest
20.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSyracuse
20.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSMUSan Diego St
15.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StStanford
14.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSyracuse
10.0%
<0.1%
Florida StPittsburghSMU
1.1%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
28.0%
3.9%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StSyracuseWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghStanfordUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StUC DavisWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSyracuseUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StStanfordWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StStanfordUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StUC DavisWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StStanfordUC DavisWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSyracuseUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego StUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StStanfordSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghStanfordSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StStanfordUC Davis
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
93.8%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
93.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StUC Davis
90.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUSan Diego St
87.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StSan Diego St
85.7%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StSan Diego St
81.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego StWake Forest
80.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StUC Davis
80.0%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego StUC DavisWake Forest
75.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego StSyracuse
70.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego StStanford
60.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StPittsburghUC Davis
57.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego StWake Forest
54.5%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSyracuseWake Forest
52.9%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSyracuseUC Davis
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSan Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSyracuseUC Davis
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StUC DavisWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StPittsburghUC Davis
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLUC DavisWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghUC DavisWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego StUC DavisWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSyracuseUC Davis
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StUC DavisWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSyracuseUC Davis
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuseWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSan Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StStanfordWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StPittsburghSan Diego St
48.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StSyracuse
46.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StSyracuse
46.7%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
46.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StWake Forest
44.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego StWake Forest
44.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLPittsburghSan Diego St
43.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSMUUC Davis
42.9%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSMUUC Davis
42.9%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
42.1%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUStanford
41.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StWake Forest
40.3%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateOregon StUC Davis
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StUC DavisWake Forest
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego StSyracuse
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StPittsburgh
39.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StPittsburgh
38.9%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StWake Forest
38.9%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUWake Forest
37.6%
0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego StSyracuse
37.5%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StStanfordWake Forest
37.5%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateOregon StSan Diego St
36.8%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSMUUC Davis
36.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego StWake Forest
35.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMUSan Diego St
35.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego StWake Forest
34.5%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StPittsburgh
34.4%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUUC DavisWake Forest
33.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego StSyracuse
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghWake Forest
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego StStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego StStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC StateOregon St
32.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FLSan Diego St
32.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSMUSan Diego St
31.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC StateSan Diego St
31.6%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
31.3%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUSyracuse
31.1%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StSMU
30.7%
0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FLOregon St
30.5%
0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSMUSan Diego St
30.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSMUUC Davis
30.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StNC StateUC Davis
30.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMUUC Davis
30.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghStanford
29.4%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StStanford
29.4%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StNC StateOregon St
29.1%
0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghSMU
28.6%
0.1%
Florida StOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
28.6%
<0.1%
Florida StSMUSan Diego StUC Davis
28.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StSMU
27.6%
0.3%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StSMU
26.7%
0.2%
AuburnNC StateOregon StSyracuse
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSMUUC Davis
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLOregon StSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StPittsburghUC Davis
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateOregon StUC Davis
25.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StPittsburghUC Davis
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego StWake Forest
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSMUSan Diego St
24.2%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StNC StateSan Diego St
23.3%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSMUSan Diego St
22.9%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghSyracuse
22.2%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSMUSan Diego St
21.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSMUUC Davis
20.8%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSMUSan Diego St
20.3%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StStanfordSyracuse
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StatePittsburghSan Diego St
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC StateUC Davis
20.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSan Diego StWake Forest
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego StSyracuse
20.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSMUSan Diego St
19.4%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego StStanford
16.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateSan Diego StWake Forest
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StStanford
14.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StStanfordWake Forest
12.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUStanfordWake Forest
8.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSMUUC Davis
7.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateOregon StSan Diego St
7.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSMUStanford
5.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSMUStanford
5.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StatePittsburghWake Forest
4.3%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StPittsburghWake Forest
4.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC StateWake Forest
3.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FLSyracuse
3.1%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC StatePittsburgh
2.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMUSyracuse
2.6%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateOregon StPittsburgh
2.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSMUSyracuse
2.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StPittsburghSMU
1.6%
0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMUWake Forest
1.5%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSMUWake Forest
1.4%
0.1%
Florida StNC StateOregon StSMU
0.5%
0.2%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com