Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | Win prob:89% | |
| 2 | 9/06 | Win prob:90% | |
| 3 | 9/14 | Win prob:26% | |
| 4 | 9/21 | Win prob:84% | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:22% | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:38% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:38% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:18% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:46% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:5% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:4% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:49% |
Data from 2024-08-23
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 8-1 | 0% | 50.0% |
| 7-2 | 0.1% | 14.4% |
| 6-3 | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| 5-4 | 4.7% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 14.4% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 27.4% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 29.9% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 18.1% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 4.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-08-23
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-08-23
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|
Data from 2024-08-23
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
100.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
5.0%
<0.1%
66.7%
<0.1%
33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%5.0%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
2.9%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%
2.9%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-08-23