Big Ten Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	Overall
MichiganMICH	100%	85.9%	21.6%	0.5%	56.4%
Ohio StateOSU	100%	95.1%	24.8%	0.3%	43.0%
OregonORE	100%	93.2%	35.5%	1.1%	41.7%
Penn StatePSU	100%	83.7%	23.8%	0.5%	38.4%
WashingtonWASH	100%	90.4%	23.1%	0.2%	7.5%
MarylandMD	99.9%	67.2%	7.2%	<0.1%	6.8%
USCUSC	100%	86.6%	27.8%	0.4%	2.6%
WisconsinWIS	100%	73.2%	12.0%	<0.1%	1.2%
NebraskaNEB	100%	56.6%	5.8%	<0.1%	1.0%
IowaIOWA	92.9%	67.6%	8.6%	<0.1%	0.4%
UCLAUCLA	100%	82.0%	14.4%	0.1%	0.4%
RutgersRUTG	100%	57.4%	8.3%	<0.1%	0.1%
IllinoisILL	-	92.9%	12.4%	<0.1%	0.1%
PurduePUR	-	93.8%	15.8%	<0.1%	<0.1%
MinnesotaMINN	-	83.3%	17.5%	0.3%	<0.1%
NorthwesternNU	-	86.7%	19.8%	0.3%	<0.1%
IndianaIU	-	50.0%	14.4%	0.5%	<0.1%
Michigan StateMSU	-	100%	27.6%	0.2%	<0.1%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
MichiganMICH(0-0)	17.0%	38.2%	30.6%	11.7%	2.3%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.5
Ohio StateOSU(0-0)	7.7%	27.5%	36.5%	21.5%	5.9%	0.9%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	7.1
Penn StatePSU(0-0)	8.7%	26.1%	32.4%	21.5%	8.7%	2.2%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	7.0
OregonORE(0-0)	6.0%	24.8%	34.8%	23.5%	8.8%	1.9%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.9
MarylandMD(0-0)	0.7%	6.7%	22.7%	32.1%	24.2%	10.4%	2.7%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.8
WashingtonWASH(0-0)	0.4%	3.9%	15.5%	29.4%	29.0%	15.7%	5.0%	1.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	5.4
USCUSC(0-0)	<0.1%	1.0%	5.9%	17.0%	28.1%	26.9%	15.1%	5.0%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.6
NebraskaNEB(0-0)	<0.1%	1.1%	6.1%	17.0%	27.0%	26.1%	15.7%	5.7%	1.2%	0.1%	4.5
WisconsinWIS(0-0)	<0.1%	0.8%	4.7%	13.9%	25.1%	27.5%	18.6%	7.4%	1.7%	0.2%	4.3
IowaIOWA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.3%	8.8%	20.5%	28.1%	23.6%	12.3%	3.6%	0.4%	3.9
UCLAUCLA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	1.7%	8.0%	19.7%	29.0%	25.2%	12.5%	3.4%	0.4%	3.8
IllinoisILL(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	4.3%	14.8%	27.4%	29.3%	17.5%	5.4%	0.7%	3.4
RutgersRUTG(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	0.8%	3.9%	12.1%	23.7%	28.5%	20.8%	8.6%	1.4%	3.2
PurduePUR(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	2.8%	10.5%	22.9%	29.7%	22.7%	9.2%	1.6%	3.1
NorthwesternNU(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.6%	7.5%	19.8%	30.2%	26.1%	12.3%	2.2%	2.8
MinnesotaMINN(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	1.9%	7.9%	19.1%	28.3%	26.0%	13.6%	3.0%	2.8
IndianaIU(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.9%	4.7%	14.4%	27.4%	29.9%	18.1%	4.5%	2.5
Michigan StateMSU(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	3.3%	13.3%	27.6%	32.1%	18.8%	4.4%	2.4

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com