SEC Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 247 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 72.1% LSULSUTexasTEX 27.9%	3.1%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 96.8% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 3.2%	2.8%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexasTEX 65.4% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 19.8% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 14.8%	1.8%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 98.7% LSULSUTexasTEX 1.3%	1.3%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA LSULSU TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 94.5% GeorgiaUGALSULSU 5.5%	1.3%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	1.2%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 97.3% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 2.7%	1.1%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 77.0% LSULSUTexasTEX 23.0%	0.9%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 98.0% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 2.0%	0.9%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALALSULSU	0.9%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexasTEX 64.4% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 35.6%	0.8%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 98.2% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 1.8%	0.8%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 LSULSU TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 87.7% GeorgiaUGALSULSU 8.2% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 4.1%	0.8%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M 62.5% AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 37.5%	0.7%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	0.7%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M	0.7%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexasTEX 61.6% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 32.5% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 5.9%	0.6%
8-1 TennesseeTENN 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATennesseeTENN 94.7% LSULSUTennesseeTENN 5.3%	0.5%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 34.2% GeorgiaUGALSULSU 32.5% LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M 31.9%	0.5%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 99.5%	0.4%
8-1 LSULSU 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M 82.2% GeorgiaUGALSULSU 17.6%	0.4%
8-1 TennesseeTENN 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALATennesseeTENN	0.4%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M 62.1% GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 37.9%	0.4%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	GeorgiaUGATexasTEX	0.4%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 77.7% TennesseeTENNTexasTEX 19.6% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 2.7%	0.4%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA LSULSU TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGALSULSU 79.7% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 20.3%	0.4%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 86.2% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 13.8%	0.4%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexasTEX 62.9% AlabamaALATexasTEX 37.1%	0.4%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALATexasTEX	0.3%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	0.3%
8-1 TennesseeTENN 7-2 AlabamaALA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATennesseeTENN 65.2% LSULSUTennesseeTENN 34.8%	0.3%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 94.7% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 5.3%	0.3%
8-1 TennesseeTENN 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTennesseeTENN 68.1% GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN 23.4% TennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M 8.5%	0.3%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALATexasTEX	0.3%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 67.0% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 33.0%	0.3%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALALSULSU 99.6%	0.3%
8-1 TennesseeTENN 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	AlabamaALATennesseeTENN	0.3%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain TennesseeTENNTexasTEX 75.8% LSULSUTexasTEX 24.2%	0.3%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALALSULSU 99.6%	0.2%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M 85.4% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 8.7% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 5.9%	0.2%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA LSULSU TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M 50.9% AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 49.1%	0.2%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 LSULSU TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGALSULSU 62.7% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 26.8% GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN 10.5%	0.2%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M	0.2%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 89.3% AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M 10.2%	0.2%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexasTEX 59.4% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 36.4% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 4.2%	0.2%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	0.2%
8-1 Texas A&MTA&M 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M	0.2%
8-1 TexasTEX 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS MissouriMIZ TennesseeTENN Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTexasTEX 93.6% TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M 6.4%	0.2%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA LSULSU TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 85.0% GeorgiaUGALSULSU 15.0%	0.1%
8-1 TennesseeTENN 7-2 LSULSU Ole MissMISS TexasTEX Texas A&MTA&M	CCG participants not 100% certain LSULSUTennesseeTENN 65.1% TennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M 34.9%	0.1%

How Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Combined record against next-highest teams → Strength of schedule → Scoring margin

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.