SEC

SEC Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-03

SECConference Standings

T1GeorgiaUGA5-17-146.7%
T1Texas A&MTA&M5-17-217.2%
3TennesseeTENN4-17-121.7%
T4TexasTEX3-17-165.2%
T4LSULSU3-16-225.5%
T6AlabamaALA3-26-223.4%
T6MississippiMISS3-27-20.3%
T6VanderbiltVAN3-26-3<0.1%
T9ArkansasARK3-35-4-
T9South CarolinaSC3-35-3-
T9MissouriMIZ2-26-2<0.1%
12FloridaFLA2-34-4-
13OklahomaOU1-45-4-
14AuburnAUB1-53-6-
15KentuckyUK1-63-6-
16Mississippi StMSST0-52-7-

Based on 100,000 simulationsData from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

SECCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on SEC CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 65.2%
Game
TexasCCG OddsAway
TexasCCG OddsHome
69.5%
(+4.3%)
55.1%
(-10.1%)
65.6%
(+0.4%)
65.2%
(-0.0%)
65.0%
(-0.2%)
65.4%
(+0.2%)
2.2%
(-63.0%)
69.3%
(+4.1%)
61.7%
(-3.5%)
69.7%
(+4.5%)
65.2%
(-0.0%)
65.3%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Texas

AlabamaAlabamaMississippi StMississippi StateMissouriMissouriTexasTexasMississippiOle MissVanderbiltVanderbilt

CCG: 83.3% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Texas

AlabamaAlabamaTexasTexas

CCG: 73.9% • Scenario: 65.7%

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

SECCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team7-16-25-3Overall
TexasTEX93.4%2.4%-65.2%
GeorgiaUGA98.0%13.6%-46.7%
LSULSU99.8%19.7%-25.5%
AlabamaALA-40.3%-23.4%
TennesseeTENN86.8%0.9%-21.7%
Texas A&MTA&M99.9%6.6%-17.2%
MississippiMISS-0.9%-0.3%
VanderbiltVAN-55.7%-<0.1%
MissouriMIZ-0.5%-<0.1%
ArkansasARK----
AuburnAUB----
FloridaFLA--0.3%-
KentuckyUK----
Mississippi StMSST----
OklahomaOU----
South CarolinaSC----

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com

SECFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team7-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
TexasTEX(3-1)69.1%27.5%3.3%0.2%0.0%---6.7
GeorgiaUGA(5-1)41.1%47.0%11.9%-----6.3
TennesseeTENN(4-1)24.3%68.3%7.3%0.2%----6.2
Texas A&MTA&M(5-1)13.1%62.0%24.8%-----5.9
LSULSU(3-1)15.9%48.6%29.4%5.7%0.3%---5.7
AlabamaALA(3-2)-58.1%36.5%5.2%0.1%---5.5
MississippiMISS(3-2)-35.3%53.7%10.7%0.2%---5.2
South CarolinaSC(3-3)--63.5%32.6%3.9%---4.6
MissouriMIZ(2-2)-8.8%38.3%38.5%13.0%1.4%--4.4
VanderbiltVAN(3-2)-<0.1%2.6%25.0%72.2%---3.3
ArkansasARK(3-3)--1.4%26.9%71.7%---3.3
FloridaFLA(2-3)--0.3%6.7%36.9%56.1%--2.5
OklahomaOU(1-4)---1.2%14.1%46.0%38.8%-1.8
AuburnAUB(1-5)----1.1%32.1%66.8%-1.3
KentuckyUK(1-6)-----3.5%96.5%-1.0
Mississippi StMSST(0-5)----<0.1%0.9%20.8%78.2%0.2

Data from 2024-11-03 • SportsSimulate.com