SEC Championship Probabilities
Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-11-03
Conference Standings
| T1 | 5-1 | 7-1 | 46.7% | ||
| T1 | 5-1 | 7-2 | 17.2% | ||
| 3 | 4-1 | 7-1 | 21.7% | ||
| T4 | 3-1 | 7-1 | 65.2% | ||
| T4 | 3-1 | 6-2 | 25.5% | ||
| T6 | 3-2 | 6-2 | 23.4% | ||
| T6 | 3-2 | 7-2 | 0.3% | ||
| T6 | 3-2 | 6-3 | <0.1% | ||
| T9 | 3-3 | 5-4 | - | ||
| T9 | 3-3 | 5-3 | - | ||
| T9 | 2-2 | 6-2 | <0.1% | ||
| 12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | - | ||
| 13 | 1-4 | 5-4 | - | ||
| 14 | 1-5 | 3-6 | - | ||
| 15 | 1-6 | 3-6 | - | ||
| 16 | 0-5 | 2-7 | - | ||
Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-11-03
Most Likely
CCG Matchups
Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-03
This Week's Impact on
CCG Odds
Current CCG Probability: 65.2%
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 69.5% (+4.3%) | 55.1% (-10.1%) | |
| 65.6% (+0.4%) | 65.2% (-0.0%) | |
| 65.0% (-0.2%) | 65.4% (+0.2%) | |
| 2.2% (-63.0%) | 69.3% (+4.1%) | |
| 61.7% (-3.5%) | 69.7% (+4.5%) | |
| 65.2% (-0.0%) | 65.3% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 83.3% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 73.9% • Scenario: 65.7%
Data from 2024-11-03
CCG Odds by Conference Record
Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.4% | 2.4% | - | 65.2% | |
| 98.0% | 13.6% | - | 46.7% | |
| 99.8% | 19.7% | - | 25.5% | |
| - | 40.3% | - | 23.4% | |
| 86.8% | 0.9% | - | 21.7% | |
| 99.9% | 6.6% | - | 17.2% | |
| - | 0.9% | - | 0.3% | |
| - | 55.7% | - | <0.1% | |
| - | 0.5% | - | <0.1% | |
| - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | 0.3% | - | |
| - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - |
Data from 2024-11-03
Final Record Distribution
Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record
| Team | 7-1 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 1-7 | 0-8 | Avg Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.1% | 27.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | - | - | - | 6.7 | |
| 41.1% | 47.0% | 11.9% | - | - | - | - | - | 6.3 | |
| 24.3% | 68.3% | 7.3% | 0.2% | - | - | - | - | 6.2 | |
| 13.1% | 62.0% | 24.8% | - | - | - | - | - | 5.9 | |
| 15.9% | 48.6% | 29.4% | 5.7% | 0.3% | - | - | - | 5.7 | |
| - | 58.1% | 36.5% | 5.2% | 0.1% | - | - | - | 5.5 | |
| - | 35.3% | 53.7% | 10.7% | 0.2% | - | - | - | 5.2 | |
| - | - | 63.5% | 32.6% | 3.9% | - | - | - | 4.6 | |
| - | 8.8% | 38.3% | 38.5% | 13.0% | 1.4% | - | - | 4.4 | |
| - | <0.1% | 2.6% | 25.0% | 72.2% | - | - | - | 3.3 | |
| - | - | 1.4% | 26.9% | 71.7% | - | - | - | 3.3 | |
| - | - | 0.3% | 6.7% | 36.9% | 56.1% | - | - | 2.5 | |
| - | - | - | 1.2% | 14.1% | 46.0% | 38.8% | - | 1.8 | |
| - | - | - | - | 1.1% | 32.1% | 66.8% | - | 1.3 | |
| - | - | - | - | - | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | 1.0 | |
| - | - | - | - | <0.1% | 0.9% | 20.8% | 78.2% | 0.2 |
Data from 2024-11-03