Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W51-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W38-0 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W27-21 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W30-27 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | L10-41 | |
| 7 | 10/12 | W45-3 | |
| 8 | 10/19 | W21-17 | |
| 9 | 10/26 | L0-34 | |
| 11 | 11/09 | W30-23 | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:24% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:82% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:77% |
Data from 2024-11-10
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 15.2% | 0.5% |
| 5-3 | 56.0% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 25.7% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 3.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-11-10
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2024-11-10
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.8% (+0.8%) | |
| 0.3% (+0.2%) | 0.0% (-0.1%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.1%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.2% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (-0.1%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Florida
ArkansasMissouri
Tennessee
UL Monroe
AlabamaCCG: 28.6% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
MissouriCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 24.0%
Data from 2024-11-10
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-11-10