SEC Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

50 of 192 scenarios

ScenarioCCG MatchupProbability
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
97.2%
GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
2.8%
11.7%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
78.0%
LSULSUTexasTEX
22.0%
10.2%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENN

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
97.0%
GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
2.9%
5.2%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENN
AlabamaALATexasTEX
4.6%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEX
AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
2.1%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALATexasTEX
2.1%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEX

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
61.0%
LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M
39.1%
1.9%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALATexasTEX
1.9%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA
1.8%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGATennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
97.0%
GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
2.9%
1.7%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALALSULSU
1.7%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
98.5%
TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
1.5%
1.6%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
80.0%
LSULSUTexasTEX
20.0%
1.6%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

LSULSUTexasTEX
99.1%
1.5%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALATexasTEX
1.0%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENN
AlabamaALATexasTEX
1.0%
8-1
TennesseeTENN
7-2
AlabamaALAMississippiMISSTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALATennesseeTENN
0.9%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
60.9%
LSULSUTexasTEX
39.1%
0.9%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENN
AlabamaALATexasTEX
0.9%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENN
GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
0.8%
8-1
TennesseeTENN
7-2
AlabamaALALSULSUMississippiMISSTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATennesseeTENN
81.0%
LSULSUTennesseeTENN
19.0%
0.8%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
97.3%
GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
2.7%
0.7%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUTennesseeTENN
AlabamaALATexasTEX
0.7%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENN

CCG participants not 100% certain

LSULSUTexasTEX
96.6%
GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
3.4%
0.6%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALATexasTEX
0.5%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISS
AlabamaALATexasTEX
0.4%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
64.0%
LSULSUTexasTEX
35.9%
0.4%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISS

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexasTEX
95.1%
LSULSUTexasTEX
4.9%
0.4%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEX
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA
0.4%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEX

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALALSULSU
99.2%
0.4%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGATennesseeTENNTexasTEX
AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
0.4%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexasTEX
AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
0.4%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexasTEX
AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
0.4%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA
0.4%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
98.4%
TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
1.6%
0.3%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALALSULSU
0.3%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALATexasTEX
0.3%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
GeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEX
GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M
0.3%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

LSULSUTexasTEX
78.3%
TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
21.7%
0.3%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGATennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA
83.0%
AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
17.0%
0.3%
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUTennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALALSULSU
98.6%
AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
1.1%
0.3%
7-2
GeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

GeorgiaUGATexas A&MTA&M
97.4%
GeorgiaUGAMississippiMISS
1.9%
0.3%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
GeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEX
LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M
0.3%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
68.5%
GeorgiaUGATexasTEX
31.5%
0.3%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUTennesseeTENNTexasTEX

CCG participants not 100% certain

AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
66.7%
LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M
33.3%
0.3%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGALSULSUMissouriMIZTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M
AlabamaALATexasTEX
0.3%
7-2
GeorgiaUGALSULSUMississippiMISSTennesseeTENNTexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

LSULSUTexas A&MTA&M
65.6%
GeorgiaUGALSULSU
33.6%
0.2%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
GeorgiaUGALSULSUTennesseeTENNTexas A&MTA&M

CCG participants not 100% certain

LSULSUTexasTEX
74.9%
TexasTEXTexas A&MTA&M
25.1%
0.2%
8-1
Texas A&MTA&M
7-2
AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGAMississippiMISSTexasTEX
AlabamaALATexas A&MTA&M
0.2%
8-1
TexasTEX
7-2
AlabamaALAMississippiMISSTennesseeTENN
AlabamaALATexasTEX
0.2%

How SEC Tiebreakers Work

Head-to-head → Common conference opponents → Combined record against next-highest teams → Strength of schedule → Scoring margin

Some tiebreaker steps involve factors like point differential that cannot be predicted before games are played, leading to uncertain outcomes.