Kennesaw StateOwls

0-2 T2nd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

35.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	@UTSAUTSA	L16-28
2	9/07	vsLouisianaUL	L10-34
3	9/14	@San José StateSJSU	Win prob:24%
5	9/28	vsUT MartinUTM	Win prob:90%
6	10/04	vsJacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:65%
8	10/15	@Middle TennesseeMTSU	Win prob:61%
9	10/23	vsLibertyLIB	Win prob:37%
10	10/30	@Western KentuckyWKU	Win prob:59%
11	11/09	@UTEPUTEP	Win prob:70%
12	11/16	vsSam HoustonSHSU	Win prob:65%
13	11/23	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	Win prob:77%
14	11/30	@Louisiana TechLT	Win prob:67%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	2.0%	100.0%
7-1	10.6%	99.0%
6-2	23.8%	76.0%
5-3	29.1%	16.7%
4-4	21.3%	0.1%
3-5	9.9%	0%
2-6	2.8%	0%
1-7	0.4%	0%
0-8	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

76.8%

7.7%

7.4%

5.7%

2.4%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kennesaw StateKENN@San José StateSJSU	35.9% (+0.4%)	35.3% (-0.1%)
Louisiana TechLT@NC StateNCSU	35.4% (-0.0%)	35.5% (+0.0%)
Hawai'iHAW@Sam HoustonSHSU	35.3% (-0.2%)	35.5% (+0.1%)
Western KentuckyWKU@Middle TennesseeMTSU	35.6% (+0.1%)	35.4% (-0.1%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Florida AtlanticFAU	35.5% (+0.1%)	35.4% (-0.0%)
New Mexico StateNMSU@Fresno StateFRES	35.6% (+0.1%)	35.4% (-0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@LibertyLIB	39.5% (+4.0%)	35.1% (-0.4%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@Eastern MichiganEMU	35.5% (+0.0%)	35.4% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Louisiana Tech

Hawai'i

Middle Tennessee

Florida International

New Mexico State

UTEP

Eastern Michigan

CCG: 77.8% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

UTEP

CCG: 39.5% • Scenario: 8.9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

0.4%

Any 1 loss

99.4%

3.8%

100.0%

1.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

0.2%

99.5%

0.2%

99.4%

0.2%

99.4%

0.3%

99.3%

0.3%

99.3%

0.1%

98.8%

0.3%

98.1%

0.8%

Any 2 losses

89.9%

12.6%

100.0%

0.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.6%

0.8%

99.5%

0.5%

99.4%

0.9%

99.2%

0.6%

99.2%

0.8%

99.1%

0.8%

98.0%

2.3%

96.9%

<0.1%

96.8%

<0.1%

94.8%

<0.1%

92.9%

0.1%

90.4%

<0.1%

89.0%

0.1%

88.1%

0.1%

87.6%

0.2%

84.9%

<0.1%

84.4%

0.2%

84.2%

0.1%

84.1%

0.1%

83.8%

<0.1%

83.5%

0.2%

83.0%

0.1%

82.6%

<0.1%

82.6%

<0.1%

81.5%

0.3%

81.1%

0.1%

80.7%

0.2%

80.2%

0.1%

80.0%

0.1%

78.2%

0.2%

77.1%

0.1%

74.5%

0.4%

74.4%

0.5%

71.8%

0.5%

70.7%

0.1%

60.3%

0.4%

60.1%

0.4%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com