MTSU

Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

6.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MTSUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsTennessee TechTNTC
W32-25
29/07
@MississippiMISS
L3-52
39/14
vsWKUWKU
Win prob:55%
49/21
vsDukeDUKE
Win prob:18%
59/28
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:9%
710/10
@Louisiana TechLT
Win prob:48%
810/15
vsKennesawKENN
Win prob:39%
910/23
@Jacksonville StJXST
Win prob:31%
1011/02
@UTEPUTEP
Win prob:51%
1111/09
vsLibertyLIB
Win prob:21%
1311/23
vsNew Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:38%
1411/30
vsFlorida IntlFIU(N)
Win prob:52%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MTSURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
0.9%
99.2%
6-2
4.7%
76.3%
5-3
14.0%
15.1%
4-4
25.3%
0.1%
3-5
27.9%
0%
2-6
19.1%
0%
1-7
6.9%
0%
0-8
1.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely MTSU CCG Opponents

if MTSU makes the CCG

LibertyLiberty
69.3%
Kennesaw StateKennesaw
12.7%
Sam HoustonSam Houston St
7.7%
Jacksonville StateJacksonville St
5.2%
New Mexico StateNew Mexico St
5.2%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MTSUThis Week's Impact

Game
MTSUCCG OddsAway
MTSUCCG OddsHome
KennesawKENN@San Jose StSJSU
6.8%
(+0.1%)		6.6%
(-0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@NC StateNCSU
6.7%
(+0.1%)		6.7%
(-0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@Sam Houston StSHSU
6.8%
(+0.1%)		6.6%
(-0.0%)
WKUWKU@MTSUMTSU
2.6%
(-4.0%)		9.9%
(+3.3%)
Florida IntlFIU@FL AtlanticFAU
6.9%
(+0.2%)		6.6%
(-0.1%)
New Mexico StNMSU@Fresno StFRES
6.6%
(-0.1%)		6.7%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@LibertyLIB
7.3%
(+0.6%)		6.6%
(-0.1%)
Jacksonville StJXST@E MichiganEMU
6.8%
(+0.2%)		6.5%
(-0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for MTSU

San Jose StSan José StateLouisiana TechLouisiana TechHawaiiHawai'iMTSUMiddle TennesseeFlorida IntlFlorida InternationalFresno StFresno StateUTEPUTEPE MichiganEastern Michigan

CCG: 37.5% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for MTSU

MTSUMiddle Tennessee

CCG: 9.9% • Scenario: 55.3%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MTSULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
MTSU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
95.0%
<0.1%
Liberty
100.0%
<0.1%
Memphis
100.0%
<0.1%
Duke
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
WKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Kennesaw
80.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
96.5%
0.3%
LibertyMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeLiberty
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida Intl
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
UTEPWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLiberty
93.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNew Mexico St
80.0%
<0.1%
LibertyWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUTEP
75.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLiberty
75.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana Tech
71.4%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico St
66.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico St
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico St
50.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLiberty
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesaw
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico St
33.3%
<0.1%
New Mexico StWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
KennesawWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
79.7%
1.9%
DukeMemphisUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisiana TechMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeMemphisWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMemphisUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeMemphisNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisiana TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNew Mexico StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville StLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisiana TechUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNew Mexico StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeUTEPWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMemphisUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUTEPWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville StMemphis
99.2%
0.1%
DukeLibertyMemphis
98.9%
0.2%
DukeKennesawMemphis
97.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMemphisNew Mexico St
94.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMemphisWKU
93.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMemphisWKU
92.9%
<0.1%
KennesawMemphisWKU
92.3%
<0.1%
LibertyMemphisUTEP
91.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechMemphis
90.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMemphisUTEP
89.5%
<0.1%
DukeLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
89.5%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlLiberty
89.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLouisiana TechMemphis
88.9%
<0.1%
LibertyMemphisWKU
87.9%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechMemphis
87.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMemphisWKU
87.5%
<0.1%
MemphisNew Mexico StWKU
87.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyMemphis
84.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNew Mexico StUTEP
82.6%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville StWKU
81.8%
<0.1%
DukeLibertyLouisiana Tech
81.8%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville StLiberty
81.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMemphis
81.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville StKennesaw
79.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlNew Mexico St
78.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMemphisNew Mexico St
77.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawMemphis
77.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMemphis
77.2%
<0.1%
DukeLibertyUTEP
76.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawUTEP
75.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana TechMemphis
73.7%
<0.1%
DukeKennesawWKU
72.7%
<0.1%
DukeKennesawUTEP
71.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMemphisUTEP
70.0%
<0.1%
DukeLibertyWKU
70.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMemphis
66.7%
<0.1%
DukeKennesawNew Mexico St
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMemphisNew Mexico St
66.7%
<0.1%
DukeNew Mexico StWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
DukeJacksonville StNew Mexico St
63.6%
<0.1%
DukeLibertyNew Mexico St
60.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawUTEP
60.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMemphisNew Mexico St
59.8%
<0.1%
DukeKennesawLouisiana Tech
57.1%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StUTEPWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico StWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlUTEPWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
DukeFlorida IntlKennesaw
50.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMemphis
47.4%
<0.1%
DukeKennesawLiberty
44.1%
<0.1%
KennesawMemphisNew Mexico St
43.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyUTEP
40.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StLouisiana Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawLouisiana Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
LibertyUTEPWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico StUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyLouisiana Tech
27.3%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StLiberty
25.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechUTEP
20.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
16.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
16.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyNew Mexico St
13.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StUTEP
12.5%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyWKU
12.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawLiberty
11.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

MTSUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com