Hawaii

Hawai'iRainbow Warriors

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

HawaiiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
vsDelaware StateDSU
W35-14
18/31
vsUCLAUCLA
L13-16
39/14
@Sam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:26%
49/21
vsNorthern IowaUNI
Win prob:90%
610/05
@San Diego StSDSU
Win prob:24%
710/12
vsBoise StBOIS
Win prob:13%
810/19
@Washington StWSU
Win prob:9%
910/26
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:53%
1011/02
@Fresno StFRES
Win prob:12%
1111/09
vsUNLVUNLV
Win prob:19%
1211/16
@Utah StUSU
Win prob:42%
1411/30
vsNew MexicoUNM
Win prob:60%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0.0%
100.0%
6-1
0.2%
86.4%
5-2
2.1%
14.7%
4-3
10.3%
0.1%
3-4
26.2%
0%
2-5
34.4%
0%
1-6
21.6%
0%
0-7
5.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Hawaii CCG Opponents

if Hawaii makes the CCG

Boise StateBoise St
33.3%
San José StateSan Jose St
25.0%
UNLVUNLV
18.8%
Fresno StateFresno St
18.8%
Air ForceAir Force
4.2%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiThis Week's Impact

Game
HawaiiCCG OddsAway
HawaiiCCG OddsHome
KennesawKENN@San Jose StSJSU
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@AuburnAUB
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@WyomingWYO
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@Sam Houston StSHSU
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
Air ForceAF@BaylorBAY
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
New Mexico StNMSU@Fresno StFRES
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
San Diego StSDSU@CaliforniaCAL
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
UtahUTAH@Utah StUSU
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MinnesotaMINN
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@Colorado StCSU
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
UNLVUNLV@KansasKU
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Hawaii CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Washington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Nevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise St
66.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
64.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StWashington St
90.9%
<0.1%
Boise StWashington St
78.6%
<0.1%
New MexicoUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston St
62.5%
<0.1%
UNLVWashington St
57.1%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno St
30.8%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
30.2%
0.7%
Sam Houston StSan Diego StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNorthern IowaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Northern IowaSan Diego StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSam Houston StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaUtah StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNorthern IowaSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSam Houston StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNorthern IowaSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSam Houston StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNorthern IowaWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StWashington St
90.5%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUNLVWashington St
88.9%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StWashington St
82.1%
<0.1%
NevadaNew MexicoWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
NevadaSam Houston StSan Diego St
66.7%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaSam Houston St
60.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoSan Diego StWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoUNLVWashington St
42.9%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StUtah St
37.5%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUNLVUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StNew MexicoWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StSan Diego StUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StSan Diego St
31.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StUtah StWashington St
27.8%
<0.1%
Boise StUtah StWashington St
26.7%
<0.1%
UNLVUtah StWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Diego StWashington St
24.2%
<0.1%
Fresno StSam Houston StSan Diego St
23.1%
<0.1%
San Diego StUtah StWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
Boise StNew MexicoWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
NevadaUNLVWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StSan Diego StWashington St
18.9%
<0.1%
Boise StSam Houston StUtah St
16.7%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StWashington St
14.3%
<0.1%
San Diego StUNLVWashington St
13.3%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StSam Houston St
12.1%
<0.1%
Fresno StNevadaWashington St
10.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StWashington St
8.7%
<0.1%
Boise StNevadaWashington St
8.3%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLVWashington St
7.4%
<0.1%
Boise StUNLVWashington St
5.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

HawaiiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com