UTEPMiners

0-2 T2nd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	@NebraskaNEB	L7-40
2	9/07	vsSouthern UtahSUU	L24-27
3	9/14	@LibertyLIB	Win prob:9%
4	9/21	@Colorado StateCSU	Win prob:40%
6	10/03	vsSam HoustonSHSU	Win prob:37%
7	10/10	@Western KentuckyWKU	Win prob:31%
8	10/16	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	Win prob:51%
9	10/22	@Louisiana TechLT	Win prob:39%
10	11/02	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	Win prob:49%
11	11/09	vsKennesaw StateKENN	Win prob:30%
13	11/23	@TennesseeTENN	Win prob:2%
14	11/30	@New Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:18%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	96.6%
6-2	1.2%	75.2%
5-3	6.3%	15.7%
4-4	17.0%	0.1%
3-5	28.6%	0%
2-6	28.1%	0%
1-7	15.2%	0%
0-8	3.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

74.1%

11.2%

5.1%

5.1%

4.6%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kennesaw StateKENN@San José StateSJSU	2.1% (+0.1%)	2.1% (-0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@NC StateNCSU	1.9% (-0.2%)	2.1% (+0.0%)
Hawai'iHAW@Sam HoustonSHSU	2.0% (-0.1%)	2.1% (+0.0%)
Western KentuckyWKU@Middle TennesseeMTSU	2.0% (-0.1%)	2.1% (+0.1%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Florida AtlanticFAU	2.1% (-0.0%)	2.1% (+0.0%)
New Mexico StateNMSU@Fresno StateFRES	2.0% (-0.1%)	2.1% (+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@LibertyLIB	8.2% (+6.2%)	1.5% (-0.6%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@Eastern MichiganEMU	2.1% (-0.0%)	2.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Kennesaw State

Louisiana Tech

Hawai'i

Western Kentucky

Florida International

New Mexico State

UTEP

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

UTEP

CCG: 8.2% • Scenario: 8.9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

98.7%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

93.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com