WKU

Western KentuckyHilltoppers

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

6.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

WKUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
@AlabamaALA
L0-63
29/07
vsEastern KentuckyEKU
W31-0
39/14
@MTSUMTSU
Win prob:45%
49/21
vsToledoTOL
Win prob:28%
59/28
@Boston CollegeBC
Win prob:24%
710/10
vsUTEPUTEP
Win prob:69%
810/16
@Sam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:34%
1010/30
vsKennesawKENN
Win prob:41%
1111/09
@New Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:26%
1211/16
vsLouisiana TechLT
Win prob:66%
1311/23
@LibertyLIB
Win prob:14%
1411/30
vsJacksonville StJXST
Win prob:48%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WKURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.8%
99.3%
6-2
4.8%
76.2%
5-3
14.9%
16.5%
4-4
27.1%
0.1%
3-5
28.5%
0%
2-6
17.5%
0%
1-7
5.7%
0%
0-8
0.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely WKU CCG Opponents

if WKU makes the CCG

LibertyLiberty
74.2%
Kennesaw StateKennesaw
10.6%
Sam HoustonSam Houston St
5.6%
New Mexico StateNew Mexico St
5.3%
Jacksonville StateJacksonville St
4.2%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WKUThis Week's Impact

Game
WKUCCG OddsAway
WKUCCG OddsHome
KennesawKENN@San Jose StSJSU
7.0%
(+0.1%)		6.9%
(-0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@NC StateNCSU
7.1%
(+0.2%)		6.9%
(-0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@Sam Houston StSHSU
6.8%
(-0.1%)		6.9%
(+0.1%)
WKUWKU@MTSUMTSU
11.2%
(+4.3%)		3.4%
(-3.5%)
Florida IntlFIU@FL AtlanticFAU
6.8%
(-0.1%)		6.9%
(+0.1%)
New Mexico StNMSU@Fresno StFRES
6.8%
(-0.1%)		6.9%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@LibertyLIB
7.7%
(+0.8%)		6.8%
(-0.1%)
Jacksonville StJXST@E MichiganEMU
6.9%
(-0.0%)		6.9%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for WKU

KennesawKennesaw StateLouisiana TechLouisiana TechHawaiiHawai'iWKUWestern KentuckyFL AtlanticFlorida AtlanticFresno StFresno StateUTEPUTEPE MichiganEastern Michigan

CCG: 60.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for WKU

WKUWestern Kentucky

CCG: 11.2% • Scenario: 44.7%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WKULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
WKU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
97.5%
<0.1%
MTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Liberty
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston College
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Toledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Kennesaw
80.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
86.2%
0.7%
KennesawToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
ToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLiberty
98.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSam Houston St
95.2%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico St
87.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesaw
85.7%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSU
85.7%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana Tech
83.3%
<0.1%
New Mexico StUTEP
83.3%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico St
82.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSam Houston St
80.0%
<0.1%
LibertyUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StSam Houston St
75.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLiberty
72.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston St
71.4%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston St
71.4%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico St
70.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico St
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawSam Houston St
54.5%
<0.1%
KennesawLiberty
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
61.0%
3.1%
Sam Houston StToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSam Houston StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSam Houston StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSUToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana TechUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUToledoUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSam Houston StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyToledo
99.4%
0.2%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico StToledo
98.7%
<0.1%
LibertyToledoUTEP
93.9%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston StToledo
92.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StMTSU
90.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawMTSU
90.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyLouisiana Tech
90.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston StToledo
90.5%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNew Mexico StToledo
88.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUSam Houston St
88.9%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawToledo
88.9%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StToledo
88.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUToledo
87.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisiana TechSam Houston St
85.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUUTEP
85.7%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUToledo
84.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMTSUNew Mexico St
83.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUToledo
83.3%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechToledo
82.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawSam Houston St
80.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyMTSU
80.5%
<0.1%
New Mexico StSam Houston StToledo
80.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StToledoUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
KennesawToledoUTEP
80.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StLiberty
79.7%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston StToledo
79.2%
0.1%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico StSam Houston St
79.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawNew Mexico St
77.3%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StToledo
77.1%
<0.1%
KennesawSam Houston StToledo
76.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyUTEP
75.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawUTEP
75.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StSam Houston St
73.7%
<0.1%
New Mexico StToledoUTEP
72.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew Mexico StUTEP
72.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertySam Houston St
72.2%
0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawLouisiana Tech
71.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StKennesaw
70.8%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StToledo
67.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana TechToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSUSam Houston St
66.7%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StToledo
63.9%
0.1%
Boston CollegeKennesawLiberty
63.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLibertyNew Mexico St
62.6%
0.2%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechToledo
60.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeJacksonville StNew Mexico St
57.9%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyToledo
53.8%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMTSUNew Mexico St
40.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechMTSU
33.3%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston StUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechSam Houston St
30.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUUTEP
27.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StSam Houston St
25.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StUTEP
25.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
25.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUSam Houston St
23.1%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUSam Houston St
22.4%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
22.2%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUNew Mexico St
22.2%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston StUTEP
21.4%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUNew Mexico St
21.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMTSU
21.1%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StSam Houston St
20.7%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMTSU
20.4%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechUTEP
20.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLouisiana TechNew Mexico St
17.9%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawSam Houston St
16.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawNew Mexico St
15.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertySam Houston St
13.0%
<0.1%
KennesawSam Houston StUTEP
12.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyUTEP
12.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyNew Mexico St
12.3%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StSam Houston St
12.1%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyLouisiana Tech
10.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUNew Mexico St
10.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StSam Houston St
9.0%
0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawLiberty
8.3%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StUTEP
6.7%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyNew Mexico St
5.7%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertySam Houston St
1.9%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WKUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com