Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

Simulated probabilities for conference championship game appearances• Data from 2024-09-08

Mid-American ConferenceConference Standings

T1ToledoTOL0-02-047.2%
T1OhioOHIO0-01-138.9%
T1N IllinoisNIU0-02-032.3%
T1Miami OHM-OH0-00-132.0%
T1Bowling GreenBGSU0-01-127.6%
T1Ball StBALL0-01-08.4%
T1E MichiganEMU0-01-16.4%
T1BuffaloBUF0-01-14.9%
T1W MichiganWMU0-00-22.0%
T1C MichiganCMU0-01-10.3%
T1AkronAKR0-00-20.1%
T1KentKENT0-00-2<0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations • Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mid-American Conference CCG Matchups

112.0%
OhioOHIO
vs
TOLToledo
210.9%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
TOLToledo
39.9%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
TOLToledo
48.5%
N IllinoisNIU
vs
OHIOOhio
58.3%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
TOLToledo
67.0%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
OHIOOhio
76.9%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
OHIOOhio
85.7%
Miami OHM-OH
vs
NIUN Illinois
94.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
M-OHMiami OH
104.6%
Bowling GreenBGSU
vs
NIUN Illinois
112.5%
Ball StBALL
vs
TOLToledo
121.7%
Ball StBALL
vs
OHIOOhio
131.6%
E MichiganEMU
vs
TOLToledo
141.4%
Ball StBALL
vs
M-OHMiami OH
151.3%
E MichiganEMU
vs
OHIOOhio

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact on Mid-American Conference CCG Odds

Current CCG Probability: 47.2%
Game
ToledoCCG OddsAway
ToledoCCG OddsHome
Bethune-CookmanBCU@W MichiganWMU
46.9%
(-0.3%)		47.2%
(+0.0%)
C MichiganCMU@IllinoisILL
47.5%
(+0.3%)		47.1%
(-0.0%)
CincinnatiCIN@Miami OHM-OH
47.3%
(+0.1%)		47.1%
(-0.1%)
Morgan StateMORG@OhioOHIO
47.6%
(+0.4%)		47.1%
(-0.0%)
ToledoTOL@Mississippi StMSST
47.3%
(+0.1%)		47.0%
(-0.1%)
MassachusettsMASS@BuffaloBUF
47.4%
(+0.3%)		47.1%
(-0.1%)
KentKENT@TennesseeTENN
47.6%
(+0.4%)		47.2%
(+0.0%)
ColgateCOLG@AkronAKR
48.5%
(+1.3%)		47.0%
(-0.1%)
Jacksonville StJXST@E MichiganEMU
47.2%
(+0.0%)		47.1%
(-0.0%)
Ball StBALL@Miami FLMIA
46.9%
(-0.3%)		47.2%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Toledo

C MichiganCentral MichiganMorgan StateMorgan StateMassachusettsMassachusettsKentKent State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Toledo

W MichiganWestern MichiganColgateColgate

CCG: 48.8% • Scenario: 9.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceCCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team8-07-16-25-3Overall
ToledoTOL100%99.6%62.6%4.8%47.2%
OhioOHIO100%94.5%39.3%1.6%38.9%
N IllinoisNIU100%97.3%50.9%2.8%32.3%
Miami OHM-OH100%99.7%62.0%4.4%32.0%
Bowling GreenBGSU100%95.9%43.6%1.6%27.6%
Ball StBALL100%96.8%49.5%2.4%8.4%
E MichiganEMU100%93.9%40.1%1.5%6.4%
BuffaloBUF100%97.3%45.0%1.8%4.9%
W MichiganWMU100%90.1%31.3%0.9%2.0%
C MichiganCMU100%100%73.0%7.7%0.3%
AkronAKR-100%60.2%4.4%0.1%
KentKENT-100%40.3%2.1%<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Mid-American ConferenceFinal Record Distribution

Probability of each team finishing with a given conference record

Team8-07-16-25-34-43-52-61-70-8Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(0-0)4.9%21.4%34.2%26.0%10.8%2.5%0.3%<0.1%0.0%5.7
ToledoTOL(0-0)5.8%20.5%31.5%25.6%12.3%3.6%0.7%<0.1%0.0%5.7
N IllinoisNIU(0-0)2.9%14.3%28.7%29.8%17.5%5.6%1.1%<0.1%0.0%5.3
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)2.4%13.0%28.1%30.7%18.4%6.3%1.2%<0.1%0.0%5.3
Miami OHM-OH(0-0)2.2%12.0%26.5%30.3%19.8%7.5%1.5%0.1%0.0%5.2
Ball StBALL(0-0)0.2%2.5%10.5%22.9%29.1%22.6%9.7%2.3%0.2%4.0
E MichiganEMU(0-0)0.2%2.1%9.7%23.1%30.0%22.6%9.9%2.3%0.2%4.0
BuffaloBUF(0-0)<0.1%1.3%7.1%20.0%30.6%26.0%11.9%2.7%0.2%3.8
W MichiganWMU(0-0)<0.1%0.6%4.1%14.1%27.0%30.0%18.0%5.5%0.7%3.4
C MichiganCMU(0-0)0.0%<0.1%0.2%1.6%7.4%20.8%33.2%27.7%9.0%2.0
KentKENT(0-0)0.0%<0.1%0.1%1.2%6.1%19.0%33.1%30.1%10.3%1.8
AkronAKR(0-0)0.0%<0.1%0.1%1.1%5.8%17.8%32.7%30.6%11.9%1.8

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com