Ohio

OhioBobcats

1-1 T1st (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

38.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

OhioSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
@SyracuseSYR
L22-38
29/07
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
W27-20
39/14
vsMorgan StateMORG
Win prob:90%
49/21
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:32%
59/28
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:92%
710/12
@C MichiganCMU
Win prob:80%
810/19
@Miami OHM-OH
Win prob:42%
910/26
vsBuffaloBUF
Win prob:80%
1111/06
@KentKENT
Win prob:87%
1211/13
vsE MichiganEMU
Win prob:80%
1311/20
@ToledoTOL
Win prob:37%
1411/29
vsBall StBALL
Win prob:76%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
4.9%
100.0%
7-1
21.4%
94.5%
6-2
34.2%
39.3%
5-3
26.0%
1.6%
4-4
10.8%
0%
3-5
2.5%
0%
2-6
0.3%
0%
1-7
0.0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Ohio CCG Opponents

if Ohio makes the CCG

ToledoToledo
33.2%
Northern IllinoisN Illinois
23.5%
Bowling GreenBowling Green
19.4%
Miami (OH)Miami OH
19.2%
Ball StateBall St
4.7%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioThis Week's Impact

Game
OhioCCG OddsAway
OhioCCG OddsHome
Bethune-CookmanBCU@W MichiganWMU
38.6%
(-0.2%)		38.9%
(+0.0%)
C MichiganCMU@IllinoisILL
39.2%
(+0.3%)		38.8%
(-0.0%)
CincinnatiCIN@Miami OHM-OH
38.8%
(-0.1%)		38.9%
(+0.0%)
Morgan StateMORG@OhioOHIO
38.8%
(-0.1%)		38.9%
(+0.0%)
ToledoTOL@Mississippi StMSST
39.2%
(+0.3%)		38.5%
(-0.4%)
MassachusettsMASS@BuffaloBUF
39.3%
(+0.5%)		38.7%
(-0.1%)
KentKENT@TennesseeTENN
39.4%
(+0.5%)		38.9%
(-0.0%)
ColgateCOLG@AkronAKR
38.3%
(-0.6%)		38.9%
(+0.1%)
Jacksonville StJXST@E MichiganEMU
38.9%
(+0.0%)		38.8%
(-0.0%)
Ball StBALL@Miami FLMIA
39.3%
(+0.4%)		38.8%
(-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Ohio

Bethune-CookmanBethune-CookmanC MichiganCentral MichiganKentKent StateColgateColgate

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Ohio

ToledoToledo

CCG: 39.2% • Scenario: 54.0%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Ohio CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
1.4%
Any 1 loss
96.4%
9.3%
Kentucky
100.0%
3.0%
Morgan State
100.0%
0.2%
Akron
99.2%
0.1%
Kent
99.0%
0.2%
E Michigan
98.8%
0.3%
C Michigan
97.8%
0.4%
Buffalo
96.6%
0.4%
Ball St
96.1%
0.4%
Miami OH
94.2%
2.0%
Toledo
92.6%
2.4%
Any 2 losses
72.0%
24.0%
BuffaloMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMorgan State
100.0%
0.3%
C MichiganMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
KentKentucky
99.0%
0.4%
BuffaloKentucky
98.4%
0.7%
C MichiganKentucky
98.3%
0.8%
E MichiganKentucky
98.2%
0.7%
AkronKentucky
98.1%
0.3%
E MichiganMorgan State
97.7%
<0.1%
Ball StKentucky
96.7%
0.9%
Ball StMorgan State
96.1%
<0.1%
KentMorgan State
95.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHMorgan State
94.6%
0.2%
KentuckyMiami OH
94.1%
4.2%
Morgan StateToledo
93.5%
0.2%
KentuckyToledo
92.0%
5.1%
AkronBuffalo
86.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganKent
84.1%
<0.1%
AkronC Michigan
81.5%
<0.1%
AkronKent
78.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloC Michigan
77.4%
<0.1%
C MichiganE Michigan
77.3%
0.1%
BuffaloKent
74.5%
<0.1%
AkronE Michigan
74.3%
<0.1%
Ball StE Michigan
70.6%
0.1%
AkronBall St
68.8%
<0.1%
C MichiganKent
67.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloE Michigan
67.1%
<0.1%
Ball StKent
62.7%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffalo
62.0%
0.1%
Ball StC Michigan
60.0%
0.1%
KentToledo
57.1%
0.4%
KentMiami OH
56.3%
0.3%
E MichiganToledo
50.3%
0.6%
C MichiganToledo
49.5%
0.6%
AkronMiami OH
48.1%
0.2%
BuffaloMiami OH
47.5%
0.5%
E MichiganMiami OH
47.0%
0.5%
C MichiganMiami OH
45.7%
0.5%
AkronToledo
43.0%
0.2%
BuffaloToledo
39.9%
0.6%
Ball StToledo
39.6%
0.8%
Ball StMiami OH
36.4%
0.7%
Miami OHToledo
21.5%
3.3%
Any 3 losses
32.9%
30.6%
KentKentuckyMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronKentMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBall StMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganMorgan State
100.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentuckyMorgan State
98.7%
<0.1%
Ball StKentuckyMorgan State
97.1%
0.1%
AkronKentuckyMorgan State
96.9%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentuckyMorgan State
95.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentuckyMorgan State
94.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami OHMorgan State
93.3%
0.5%
KentuckyMorgan StateToledo
92.8%
0.6%
BuffaloE MichiganMorgan State
90.0%
<0.1%
AkronKentKentucky
87.0%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganKentucky
83.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentMorgan State
80.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentMorgan State
80.0%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganKentucky
75.9%
<0.1%
Ball StKentKentucky
74.6%
0.1%
E MichiganKentKentucky
74.3%
<0.1%
KentMiami OHMorgan State
73.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentKentucky
71.8%
0.1%
AkronBuffaloKentucky
71.7%
<0.1%
AkronBall StKentucky
71.6%
<0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganKentucky
71.4%
0.2%
C MichiganKentKentucky
71.3%
0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganKentucky
70.2%
0.2%
Ball StC MichiganMorgan State
69.2%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganMorgan State
69.2%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganKentucky
68.0%
0.2%
BuffaloE MichiganKentucky
67.2%
0.2%
C MichiganE MichiganMorgan State
64.3%
<0.1%
KentMorgan StateToledo
62.5%
<0.1%
Ball StKentMorgan State
60.0%
<0.1%
C MichiganMiami OHMorgan State
57.1%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentMorgan State
57.1%
<0.1%
KentKentuckyMiami OH
56.4%
0.6%
Ball StBuffaloKentucky
56.3%
0.2%
KentKentuckyToledo
54.7%
0.8%
Ball StC MichiganKentucky
54.2%
0.3%
BuffaloMiami OHMorgan State
53.8%
<0.1%
AkronKentuckyMiami OH
52.5%
0.4%
C MichiganMorgan StateToledo
51.9%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentuckyMiami OH
51.0%
1.0%
AkronMiami OHMorgan State
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronMorgan StateToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloMorgan State
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentuckyMiami OH
50.0%
1.0%
AkronKentuckyToledo
49.2%
0.4%
E MichiganKentuckyToledo
49.0%
1.2%
C MichiganKentuckyMiami OH
48.1%
1.1%
Ball StMorgan StateToledo
47.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganMorgan StateToledo
46.3%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHMorgan State
46.2%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHMorgan State
43.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentuckyToledo
42.2%
1.2%
BuffaloKentuckyToledo
41.6%
1.2%
BuffaloMorgan StateToledo
40.6%
<0.1%
Ball StKentuckyMiami OH
34.4%
1.3%
Ball StKentuckyToledo
34.4%
1.6%
AkronC MichiganKent
28.6%
<0.1%
Miami OHMorgan StateToledo
22.8%
0.4%
KentuckyMiami OHToledo
20.8%
7.1%
Ball StE MichiganKent
18.8%
<0.1%
AkronBall StC Michigan
14.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganKent
11.8%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloE Michigan
11.1%
<0.1%
AkronKentMiami OH
10.5%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganKent
8.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganKent
8.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganKentMiami OH
8.2%
<0.1%
AkronC MichiganMiami OH
7.3%
<0.1%
AkronBall StE Michigan
6.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganMiami OH
5.6%
0.1%
AkronBuffaloMiami OH
5.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloKentMiami OH
5.1%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloKent
5.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganE Michigan
5.0%
<0.1%
AkronKentToledo
4.3%
<0.1%
AkronBall StMiami OH
4.3%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloE Michigan
3.6%
<0.1%
C MichiganKentToledo
3.4%
<0.1%
Ball StC MichiganE Michigan
3.2%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloToledo
3.2%
0.2%
E MichiganKentToledo
2.9%
0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganToledo
2.7%
0.1%
BuffaloC MichiganToledo
2.5%
0.2%
BuffaloE MichiganMiami OH
1.8%
0.1%
Ball StE MichiganToledo
1.8%
0.2%
Ball StKentToledo
1.7%
0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganToledo
1.6%
0.1%
C MichiganKentMiami OH
1.5%
<0.1%
C MichiganE MichiganMiami OH
1.5%
0.1%
BuffaloKentToledo
1.5%
<0.1%
AkronBall StToledo
1.4%
<0.1%
KentMiami OHToledo
1.3%
0.5%
Ball StKentMiami OH
1.1%
<0.1%
Ball StC MichiganToledo
1.0%
0.2%
Ball StC MichiganMiami OH
0.8%
0.1%
Ball StMiami OHToledo
0.7%
1.1%
AkronMiami OHToledo
0.7%
0.3%
Ball StE MichiganMiami OH
0.7%
0.1%
Ball StBuffaloMiami OH
0.6%
0.2%
BuffaloMiami OHToledo
0.6%
0.8%
C MichiganMiami OHToledo
0.6%
0.8%
E MichiganMiami OHToledo
0.6%
0.8%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com