SyracuseOrange

2-1 6th (1-1) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-22 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsOhioOHIO	W38-22
2	9/07	vsGeorgia TechGT	W31-28
4	9/20	vsStanfordSTAN	L24-26
5	9/28	vsHoly CrossHC	Win prob:90%
6	10/04	@UNLVUNLV	Win prob:22%
7	10/12	@NC StateNCSU	Win prob:29%
9	10/24	@PittsburghPITT	Win prob:28%
10	11/02	vsVirginia TechVT	Win prob:26%
11	11/09	@Boston CollegeBC	Win prob:30%
12	11/16	@CaliforniaCAL	Win prob:23%
13	11/23	vsUConnCONN	Win prob:69%
14	11/30	vsMiamiMIA	Win prob:9%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.0%	71.4%
6-2	0.3%	10.5%
5-3	2.6%	0.1%
4-4	12.0%	0%
3-5	29.5%	0%
2-6	36.8%	0%
1-7	18.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

25.0%

25.0%

25.0%

25.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
LouisvilleLOU@Notre DameND	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
LouisianaUL@Wake ForestWAKE	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Western KentuckyWKU@Boston CollegeBC	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@ClemsonCLEM	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@DukeDUKE	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
Holy CrossHC@SyracuseSYR	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Florida StateFSU@SMUSMU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@NC StateNCSU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MiamiMIA	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Wake Forest

Western Kentucky

Stanford

North Carolina

Holy Cross

SMU

NC State

CCG: 20.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Notre Dame

Wake Forest

NC State

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 17.6%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

17.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

15.4%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

13.8%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

19.1%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.3%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

6.2%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

3.9%

<0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-22 • SportsSimulate.com